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Rankings
#87 of 106 in Division 5
#22 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #103 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #81 in D5 (-468 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 13-6 H #533 Eastern (Beaver) (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 62
08/29 W 36-0 A #684 Southern (Racine) (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 19 (83%), perf. rating 86
09/05 W 24-6 H #653 Wellston (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 15 (80%), perf. rating 69
09/12 L 45-24 A #480 Symmes Valley (4-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 52
09/19 H #472 Rock Hill (3-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 17 (14%)
09/26 H #484 Fairland (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/03 A #631 Chesapeake (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 7 (67%)
10/10 A #402 Dawson-Bryant (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/17 A #468 Portsmouth (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/24 H #436 Gallia Academy (2-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.20 ( 3.70-16.70) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 20%
Lose: 3.55 ( 1.60-13.60) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 6W: 9.90 ( 8.20-12.70) 11% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 9%) 5W: 7.60 ( 5.85-11.15) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(22%) 4W: 5.45 ( 3.70- 9.85) out, proj. out
(39%) 3W: 3.35 ( 2.00- 7.30) out, proj. out
(25%) 2W: 2.80 ( 1.60- 4.55) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLWLWL: 8.05 ( 6.70- 9.50) out
( 2%) LWWLWL: 7.25 ( 5.95- 8.70) out
( 4%) WLWLLL: 5.80 ( 4.50- 7.70) out
( 4%) LLWLLW: 5.50 ( 4.20- 7.75) out
( 4%) LLWLWL: 5.45 ( 4.15- 8.25) out
( 6%) LWWLLL: 5.00 ( 3.70- 6.95) out
(32%) LLWLLL: 3.20 ( 2.00- 5.50) out
(25%) LLLLLL: 2.80 ( 1.60- 4.55) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 63.5, #589, D5 #87), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 69.7, #565, D5 #86), 14% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 68.4, #572, D5 #86), 6% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 62.0, #597, D5 #91), 6% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 60.1, #607, D5 #91), 10% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 50.6