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Rankings
#52 of 106 in Division 5
#8 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #99 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #37 in D5 (-40 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 30-27 A #527 Eastern (Beaver) (4-3) D7 R27, pick: L by 25 (13%), perf. rating 83
08/28 W 38-0 H #598 Southern (Racine) (3-4) D7 R27, pick: W by 24 (89%), perf. rating 114
09/04 W 49-6 A #638 Wellston (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 21 (88%), perf. rating 110
09/11 L 42-8 H #309 Symmes Valley (7-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 21 (11%), perf. rating 56
09/18 W 43-21 A #539 Rock Hill (1-6) D6 R24, pick: W by 2 (55%), perf. rating 108
09/25 W 30-24 A #382 Fairland (5-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 14 (19%), perf. rating 108
10/02 W 33-8 H #601 Chesapeake (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 94
10/09 H #558 Dawson-Bryant (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/16 H #485 Portsmouth (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/23 A #545 Gallia Academy (2-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
18.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 36% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.90 (13.05-19.40) 100% home, 38% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 38%
Lose: 15.32 (11.85-17.80) 100% in, 99% home, 14% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), Dawson-Bryant (2-5) 21%
Based on eventual number of wins
(65%) 9W: 18.20 (16.85-19.40) 100% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#5), bye 44%
(27%) 8W: 16.40 (15.20-17.85) 100% home, 26% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#6), bye 26%
( 7%) 7W: 14.55 (13.05-15.95) 100% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Ridgewood (4-3) 26%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(65%) WWW: 18.20 (16.85-19.40) 100% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#5), bye 44%
( 3%) LWW: 16.50 (15.20-17.80) 100% home, 26% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#6), Dawson-Bryant (2-5) 26%
( 7%) WWL: 16.40 (15.25-17.45) 100% home, 25% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#5), Vinton County (4-3) 27%
(17%) WLW: 16.35 (15.20-17.85) 100% home, 26% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#6), Portsmouth (2-5) 30%
( 2%) LLW: 14.60 (13.35-15.95) 100% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Ridgewood (4-3) 24%
( 5%) WLL: 14.53 (13.05-15.90) 100% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Ridgewood (4-3) 27%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 92.3, #418, D5 #52), appears locked in and likely home, 36% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 92.0, #417, D5 #52), appears locked in and likely home, 38% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 86.9, #449, D5 #62), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 68% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 81.1, #486, D5 #71), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 36% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 3 (3-0, 86.6, #456, D5 #61), 84% (bubble if 5-5), 51% home (maybe if 7-3), 14% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 79.0, #503, D5 #73), 63% (bubble if 5-5), 30% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 73.0, #540, D5 #80), 38% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 62.1, #595, D5 #91), 15% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 66.7