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Rankings
#90 of 107 in Division 6
#20 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #60 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #101 in D6 (-880 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 35-0 A #480 Symmes Valley (4-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 26 (88%), perf. rating 31
08/29 L 21-14 H #598 Minford (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 49
09/05 L 42-41 A #544 Northwest (McDermott) (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 30 (5%), perf. rating 73
09/12 L 60-14 A #402 Dawson-Bryant (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 31 (3%), perf. rating 35
09/19 H #234 Grandview Heights (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 42 (1%)
09/26 A #468 Portsmouth (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/03 H #589 South Point (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 7 (33%)
10/10 A #436 Gallia Academy (2-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/17 H #472 Rock Hill (3-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/24 H #484 Fairland (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.30 ( 4.05-14.00) 44% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-11.45) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Dayton Christian (3-1) 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 3W: 5.60 ( 4.80-10.00) 29% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
(10%) 2W: 3.45 ( 2.65- 7.70) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(33%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.95- 5.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(54%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLWLWW: 5.30 ( 4.80- 7.65) 18% in, proj. out (#10-out), Coldwater (2-2) 21%
( 3%) LLWLWL: 3.90 ( 3.40- 5.75) out
( 3%) LLWLLW: 3.10 ( 2.65- 4.95) out
( 2%) LWWLLL: 3.10 ( 3.10- 5.75) out
( 3%) LLLLWL: 2.20 ( 1.75- 4.05) out
( 4%) LLLLLW: 1.40 ( 0.95- 2.80) out
(22%) LLWLLL: 1.25 ( 1.25- 3.05) out
(54%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 54.5, #631, D6 #90), 2% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 53.5, #626, D6 #85), 3% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 46.2, #650, D6 #92), 2% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 45.5, #655, D6 #94), 5% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 73.3, #545, D6 #67), 50% (bubble if 4-6), 28% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 4-6
Last season 75.1