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Rankings
#39 of 105 in Division 5
#9 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #76 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #58 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H Russell KY (0-0) D4
08/28 A #604 Adena (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 33 (95%)
09/04 H #256 Nelsonville-York (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 7 (35%)
09/11 A #602 Chesapeake (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 32 (97%)
09/18 H #263 Portsmouth (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 6 (35%)
09/25 H #468 Gallia Academy (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 21 (91%)
10/02 A #402 KIPP Columbus (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/09 A #595 South Point (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/16 A #428 Fairland (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/23 H #510 Rock Hill (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 26 (96%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
14.78 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#7 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
74% (bubble if 5-5), 51% home (maybe if 7-3), 23% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.64 ( 1.52-30.93) 79% in, 57% home, 28% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 35%
Lose: 13.32 ( 0.00-28.03) 68% in, 45% home, 17% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 25%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 10W: 24.29 (18.94-30.93) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 95%
(15%) 9W: 21.34 (15.07-28.74) 100% in, 99% home, 73% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 73%
(18%) 8W: 17.89 (11.66-24.57) 99% in, 92% home, 29% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 29%
(18%) 7W: 14.78 ( 9.07-21.93) 97% in, 59% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Grove City Christian (0-0) 8%
(16%) 6W: 11.93 ( 6.68-18.82) 77% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 10%
(12%) 5W: 9.34 ( 4.65-15.31) 35% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 11%
( 8%) 4W: 7.11 ( 3.53-12.26) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Wheelersburg (0-0) 12%
( 4%) 3W: 5.02 ( 2.12- 9.92) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 2%) 2W: 3.25 ( 0.80- 8.30) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.57 ( 0.40- 4.07) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 6%
Portsmouth (0-0) 6%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 6%
Fairland (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Ironton (0-0) 14%
Wheelersburg (0-0) 14%
Columbus Academy (0-0) 10%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 9%
Fort Frye (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 69.2, #560, D5 #86), 6% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 106.2