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Rankings
#40 of 100 in Division 2
#10 of 25 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #35 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #3 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #310 Youngstown (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 27 (89%)
08/28 A #57 Lake (Uniontown) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 17 (20%)
09/04 A #332 Liberty (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 26 (93%)
09/11 H #161 Louisville (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 8 (68%)
09/18 A #23 Cuyahoga Val. Christian (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/25 H McDowell PA (0-0) D1
10/02 H #118 Warren G Harding (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/08 H #330 St Vincent-St Mary (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/16 A #37 Austintown-Fitch (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/23 A #121 Canfield (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 3 (42%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
11.66 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#11 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
57% (bubble if 5-5), 28% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.14 ( 0.60-38.38) 61% in, 31% home, 7% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 7.63 ( 0.00-32.79) 23% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Glenville (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 30.23 (21.42-38.38) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 93%
( 4%) 9W: 25.92 (16.28-34.63) 100% in, 99% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 63%
( 9%) 8W: 21.71 (15.12-32.79) 100% in, 92% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 25%
(14%) 7W: 18.12 (11.06-26.22) 98% in, 65% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 8%
(18%) 6W: 14.64 ( 8.30-24.12) 87% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Glenville (0-0) 9%
(19%) 5W: 11.66 ( 5.27-19.24) 54% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Glenville (0-0) 12%
(16%) 4W: 9.00 ( 3.59-16.68) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Glenville (0-0) 12%
(11%) 3W: 6.70 ( 1.75-13.40) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 6%) 2W: 4.45 ( 1.15- 9.76) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 2%) 1W: 1.79 ( 0.55- 6.01) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Glenville (0-0) 8%
Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 7%
Nordonia (0-0) 7%
Twinsburg (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Highland (Medina) (0-0) 17%
Wadsworth (0-0) 14%
Walsh Jesuit (0-0) 13%
Glenville (0-0) 11%
Villa Angela-St Joseph (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 134.4, #129, D2 #40), 57% (bubble if 5-5), 28% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 5-5
Last season 136.4