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Rankings
#3 of 79 in Division 1
#1 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #1 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D1 (+715 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 15-12 H #30 Olentangy Liberty (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 15 (75%), perf. rating 164
08/28 W 22-8 H #16 Canton McKinley (6-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 13 (74%), perf. rating 190
09/04 W 48-21 A #77 Wayne (3-4) D1 R2, pick: W by 30 (95%), perf. rating 186
09/11 W 17-14 H #3 Archbishop Hoban (3-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 2 (55%), perf. rating 188
09/18 L 23-21 H #7 Massillon Washington (6-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 177
09/26 W 22-21 H St Johns College DC (5-1) D2
10/02 W 31-14 A #19 St Ignatius (4-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 3 (58%), perf. rating 197
10/09 H Football North ON (3-2) D4
10/17 A #2 Archbishop Moeller (5-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 7 (32%)
Regular season projections
7-2 record
34.35 Harbin points (divisor 82)
#1 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 34.41 (29.05-42.51) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Lose: 32.03 (26.78-39.52) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Based on eventual number of wins
(22%) 8W: 39.46 (34.95-42.51) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
(54%) 7W: 34.35 (29.05-39.52) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(24%) 6W: 31.23 (26.78-35.08) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(22%) WW: 39.46 (34.95-42.51) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
(12%) LW: 36.47 (31.16-39.52) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(42%) WL: 33.62 (29.05-37.46) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(24%) LL: 31.23 (26.78-35.08) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 183.3, #5, D1 #3), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #1 at 7-2
Week 6 (5-1, 183.4, #7, D1 #3), appears locked in and home, 91% bye (maybe if 5-4), proj. #2 at 6-3
Week 5 (4-1, 177.3, #13, D1 #7), appears locked in, 97% home (maybe if 4-5), 60% bye (maybe if 5-4), proj. #2 at 6-3
Week 4 (4-0, 179.2, #9, D1 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 71% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #3 at 6-3
Week 3 (3-0, 175.8, #15, D1 #7), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 4-5), 47% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #4 at 6-3
Week 2 (2-0, 174.1, #16, D1 #8), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 3-6), 66% bye (maybe if 5-4), proj. #3 at 6-3
Week 1 (1-0, 176.2, #9, D1 #2), likely in, 91% home (maybe if 3-6), 62% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #2 at 6-3
Week 0 (0-0, 179.7, #5, D1 #2), 96% (bubble if 2-7), 88% home (maybe if 3-6), 64% bye (maybe if 5-4), proj. #2 at 6-3
Last season 182.0