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Region 1 playoff probabilities
Region 1 seeding probabilities
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Rankings
#2 of 80 in Division 1
#1 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #2 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #16 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #21 Olentangy Liberty (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 15 (75%)
08/28 H #30 Canton McKinley (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 21 (85%)
09/04 A #42 Wayne (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 23 (90%)
09/11 H #12 Archbishop Hoban (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/18 H #11 Massillon Washington (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/26 H St Johns College DC (0-0) D2
10/02 A #74 St Ignatius (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/09 H Football North ON (0-0) D4
10/17 A #7 Archbishop Moeller (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 1 (47%)
Regular season projections
6-3 record
24.34 Harbin points (divisor 82)
#2 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
96% (bubble if 2-7), 88% home (maybe if 3-6), 65% bye (maybe if 5-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 26.96 ( 0.72-46.78) 99% in, 95% home, 76% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 77%
Lose: 14.98 ( 0.00-36.42) 86% in, 64% home, 29% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 33%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 9W: 36.23 (24.40-46.78) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(16%) 8W: 32.87 (21.34-45.92) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(21%) 7W: 28.74 (14.78-41.10) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 96%
(18%) 6W: 24.34 (13.20-36.66) 100% in, 99% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 81%
(15%) 5W: 19.79 ( 7.22-31.37) 100% in, 98% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 44%
(10%) 4W: 15.41 ( 6.26-25.77) 99% in, 84% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 12%
( 7%) 3W: 11.19 ( 4.01-20.03) 95% in, 43% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Brunswick (0-0) 9%
( 4%) 2W: 6.88 ( 1.89-15.22) 64% in, 8% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Hudson (0-0) 11%
( 2%) 1W: 2.99 ( 0.56- 7.80) 10% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Ignatius (0-0) 3%
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 3%
Brunswick (0-0) 2%
Stow-Munroe Falls (0-0) 2%
Most likely second round opponents
Canton McKinley (0-0) 11%
Hudson (0-0) 11%
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 9%
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
Mentor (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 179.8, #5, D1 #2), 96% (bubble if 2-7), 88% home (maybe if 3-6), 65% bye (maybe if 5-4), proj. #2 at 6-3
Last season 182.0