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Region 13 playoff probabilities
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Rankings
#17 of 101 in Division 4
#6 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #70 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #3 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #328 Bedford (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 22 (84%)
08/28 A #76 Nordonia (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 21 (15%)
09/04 A #245 Canton South (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 8 (67%)
09/11 A #600 Coventry (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/19 A #353 University School (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 21 (91%)
09/26 A #407 Kenmore-Garfield (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/03 A #445 Ellet (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/09 A #626 North (Akron) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/16 H #462 Firestone (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/24 H #261 Buchtel (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 14 (82%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
18.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
91% (bubble if 4-6), 72% home (maybe if 6-4), 32% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.00 ( 1.10-34.55) 95% in, 79% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 39%
Lose: 11.90 ( 0.00-26.70) 68% in, 37% home, 8% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 10W: 24.98 (15.95-34.55) 100% in, 99% home, 87% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 87%
(27%) 9W: 21.65 (14.50-31.80) 100% in, 99% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 60%
(22%) 8W: 18.55 (10.70-27.50) 99% in, 93% home, 28% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 28%
(16%) 7W: 15.60 ( 9.05-23.80) 99% in, 71% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), Hubbard (0-0) 9%
(11%) 6W: 12.55 ( 6.75-20.45) 92% in, 32% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Norton (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 5W: 9.95 ( 5.70-16.20) 68% in, 9% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Norton (0-0) 10%
( 4%) 4W: 7.50 ( 3.75-13.30) 32% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Norton (0-0) 14%
( 2%) 3W: 5.15 ( 2.70-11.15) 6% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 1%) 2W: 3.20 ( 1.10- 7.65) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Hubbard (0-0) 6%
Lutheran East (0-0) 5%
West Geauga (0-0) 5%
Orrville (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
West Branch (0-0) 13%
Poland Seminary (0-0) 13%
Norton (0-0) 11%
Rocky River (0-0) 11%
Streetsboro (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 61.7, #600, D4 #93), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 129.8