Region 13 home page
Region 13 projections
Region 13 playoff probabilities
Region 13 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 13 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#32 of 101 in Division 4
#8 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #77 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #22 in D4 (+135 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 12-7 H #290 Bedford (1-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 22 (84%), perf. rating 116
08/28 L 46-12 A #53 Nordonia (2-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 28 (8%), perf. rating 104
09/04 A #297 Canton South (0-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 6 (63%)
09/11 A #615 Coventry (0-2) D4 R13, pick: W by 41 (99%)
09/19 A #272 University School (2-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 3 (57%)
09/26 A #456 Garfield (0-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/03 A #501 Ellet (0-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/09 A #661 North (Akron) (0-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/16 H #559 Firestone (0-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/24 H #273 Buchtel (0-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 7 (68%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
5.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 83% home (maybe if 6-4), 33% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.04 ( 2.68- 7.13) 99% in, 94% home, 47% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 47%
Lose: 4.99 ( 1.48- 6.42) 96% in, 65% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Poland Seminary (0-2) 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
(31%) 9W: 6.59 ( 6.16- 7.13) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 82%
(29%) 8W: 5.80 ( 5.37- 6.42) 100% home, 25% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 25%
(22%) 7W: 5.02 ( 4.53- 5.52) 100% in, 88% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Poland Seminary (0-2) 16%
(13%) 6W: 4.22 ( 3.80- 4.82) 99% in, 36% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Poland Seminary (0-2) 17%
( 4%) 5W: 3.48 ( 3.24- 3.90) 90% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Northwest (Canal Fult.) (2-0) 15%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(31%) WWWWWWWW: 6.59 ( 6.17- 7.13) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 82%
( 8%) LWWWWWWW: 5.93 ( 5.59- 6.42) 100% home, 29% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 29%
( 7%) WWWWWWWL: 5.74 ( 5.37- 6.18) 100% home, 24% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 24%
(12%) WWLWWWWW: 5.71 ( 5.42- 6.32) 100% home, 22% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 22%
( 4%) LWWWWWWL: 5.08 ( 4.83- 5.46) 100% in, 93% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Cleveland Central Cath. (1-1) 15%
( 7%) LWLWWWWW: 5.08 ( 4.81- 5.45) 100% in, 92% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Poland Seminary (0-2) 16%
( 7%) WWLWWWWL: 4.90 ( 4.53- 5.24) 100% in, 81% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Poland Seminary (0-2) 16%
( 8%) LWLWWWWL: 4.24 ( 4.01- 4.61) 100% in, 39% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Woodridge (2-0) 15%
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 117.8, #234, D4 #32), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 120.0, #216, D4 #28), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 77% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 125.1, #172, D4 #17), 90% (bubble if 4-6), 72% home (maybe if 6-4), 32% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 129.8