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Rankings
#46 of 107 in Division 3
#15 of 27 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #71 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #27 in D3 (+35 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 20-6 A #288 Bedford (2-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 6 (61%), perf. rating 133
08/29 L 39-7 A #55 Nordonia (4-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 32 (5%), perf. rating 104
09/05 W 27-20 A #294 Canton South (1-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 122
09/12 L 52-0 A #8 Archbishop Hoban (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 118
09/19 A #407 University School (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 23 (92%)
09/26 H #466 Ellet (1-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/04 H #629 North (Akron) (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/11 A #476 Firestone (0-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/18 A #240 Buchtel (0-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/24 H #495 Kenmore-Garfield (1-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 34 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
15.33 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
66% (bubble if 7-3), 9% home
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.05 ( 8.51-22.87) 70% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Alliance (3-1) 15%
Lose: 12.94 ( 6.79-17.62) 15% in, proj. out (#9-out), Alliance (3-1) 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
(50%) 8W: 18.12 (15.01-22.87) 94% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Alliance (3-1) 14%
(40%) 7W: 15.33 (12.57-19.61) 46% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Alliance (3-1) 16%
( 9%) 6W: 12.69 ( 9.83-16.46) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 1%) 5W: 10.22 ( 8.51-14.48) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(50%) WWWWWW: 18.12 (15.01-22.87) 94% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Alliance (3-1) 14%
( 2%) LWWWWW: 15.48 (13.75-17.62) 49% in, proj. out (#9-out), Alliance (3-1) 20%
(35%) WWWWLW: 15.28 (12.57-19.05) 45% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Alliance (3-1) 16%
( 1%) WWWLLW: 13.04 (10.80-16.21) 6% in, proj. out (#12-out), Alliance (3-1) 33%
( 1%) WWWWLL: 12.63 (10.19-16.10) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out), Alliance (3-1) 50%
( 4%) LWWWLW: 12.53 (10.90-15.19) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out), Villa Angela-St Joseph (2-1) 33%
( 1%) WLWWLW: 12.53 ( 9.83-15.64) 3% in, proj. out (#12-out), Alliance (3-1) 33%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 120.9, #211, D3 #46), 66% (bubble if 7-3), 9% home, proj. out at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 121.8, #203, D3 #43), 59% (bubble if 7-3), 6% home, proj. #12 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 117.8, #237, D3 #49), 41% (bubble if 7-3), 7% home, proj. out at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 120.2, #207, D3 #41), 39% (bubble if 7-3), 14% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 115.3, #241, D3 #47), 35% (bubble if 6-4), 14% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 113.2