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Rankings
#30 of 102 in Division 4
#10 of 25 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #89 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #24 in D4 (+93 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 12-7 H #376 Bedford (2-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 22 (84%), perf. rating 103
08/28 L 46-12 A #37 Nordonia (6-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 28 (8%), perf. rating 110
09/04 W 34-7 A #420 Canton South (0-7) D4 R15, pick: W by 6 (63%), perf. rating 134
09/11 W 46-0 A #605 Coventry (1-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 122
09/19 W 21-20 A #247 University School (5-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 14 (81%), perf. rating 119
09/26 W 36-6 A #487 Garfield (1-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 129
10/03 W 38-7 A #546 Ellet (1-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 35 (99%), perf. rating 120
10/09 A #663 North (Akron) (1-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/16 H #542 Firestone (1-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/24 H #300 Buchtel (4-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
19.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 75% home (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.55 (12.35-21.85) 100% in, 75% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Orrville (6-1) 30%
Lose: 18.00 (13.50-20.35) 100% in, 50% home, proj. #9 (#6-#11), Orrville (6-1) 44%
Based on eventual number of wins
(79%) 9W: 19.60 (17.65-21.85) 100% in, 90% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#10), Orrville (6-1) 26%
(20%) 8W: 15.60 (14.05-20.35) 100% in, 17% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Orrville (6-1) 44%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(79%) WWW: 19.60 (17.65-21.85) 100% in, 90% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#10), Orrville (6-1) 26%
(19%) WWL: 15.60 (14.05-17.85) 100% in, 14% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Orrville (6-1) 44%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 120.7, #213, D4 #30), appears locked in, 75% home (likely needs 9-1), proj. #8 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 120.5, #213, D4 #30), likely in, 83% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 119.3, #223, D4 #31), likely in, 71% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 121.2, #208, D4 #28), 98% (bubble if 6-4), 68% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 3 (2-1, 122.1, #207, D4 #25), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 70% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye, proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 2 (1-1, 117.8, #234, D4 #32), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 120.0, #216, D4 #28), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 77% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 125.1, #172, D4 #17), 90% (bubble if 4-6), 72% home (maybe if 6-4), 32% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 129.8