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Rankings
#35 of 103 in Division 7
#9 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #63 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #22 in D7 (+124 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 56-7 A #190 Columbia (3-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 31 (8%), perf. rating 63
08/28 W 31-14 H #529 Rootstown (2-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 16 (21%), perf. rating 99
09/04 W 24-7 H #634 Crestview (Ashland) (0-3) D6 R22, pick: W by 26 (93%), perf. rating 73
09/11 A #522 Crestwood (0-3) D5 R17, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/18 A #639 Trinity (0-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 26 (95%)
09/25 H #394 Wickliffe (3-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/02 H #681 Beachwood (2-1) D5 R17, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/09 A #367 Cuyahoga Heights (2-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/16 H #625 Fairport Harding (0-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 A #687 Brooklyn (0-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 39 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
10.14 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#6 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 85% home (maybe if 5-5), 26% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.50 ( 4.39-20.28) 99% in, 95% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 41%
Lose: 8.72 ( 2.58-18.50) 97% in, 75% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 9W: 16.91 (14.82-20.28) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(15%) 8W: 13.35 (10.95-18.50) 100% home, 84% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 84%
(33%) 7W: 10.14 ( 7.90-15.56) 100% in, 97% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 25%
(37%) 6W: 8.67 ( 6.33-13.16) 99% in, 83% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Monroeville (0-3) 15%
( 9%) 5W: 7.10 ( 4.39-11.08) 95% in, 30% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Monroeville (0-3) 13%
( 2%) 4W: 5.73 ( 3.74- 8.79) 57% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), East Canton (2-1) 18%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) WWWWWWW: 16.91 (14.82-20.28) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 9%) WWWWLWW: 13.35 (11.61-17.18) 100% home, 79% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 79%
( 4%) WWLWWWW: 12.94 (10.95-15.90) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 89%
( 4%) LWWWLWW: 12.39 (10.65-15.09) 100% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 57%
(24%) WWLWLWW: 9.79 ( 7.90-13.31) 100% in, 96% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), bye 12%
(32%) LWLWLWW: 8.72 ( 7.04-12.35) 100% in, 85% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#12), Monroeville (0-3) 15%
( 5%) LWLWLLW: 7.05 ( 5.26-10.41) 92% in, 26% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Monroeville (0-3) 12%
( 1%) LLLWLLW: 5.63 ( 3.84- 7.57) 51% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), East Canton (2-1) 18%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 78.4, #509, D7 #35), likely in, 85% home (maybe if 5-5), 26% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 75.3, #527, D7 #40), 83% (bubble if 5-5), 50% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 60.2, #610, D7 #62), 34% (bubble if 4-6), 17% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 65.4, #581, D7 #52), 34% (bubble if 4-6), 17% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 64.1