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Rankings
#77 of 100 in Division 2
#17 of 25 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #76 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #35 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 A #524 John Marshall (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 16 (77%)
08/28 H #412 Rhodes (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 3 (56%)
09/04 A #341 Harvey (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 11 (27%)
09/11 A #141 Rocky River (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 32 (3%)
09/18 H #94 Buckeye (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 34 (2%)
09/25 H #439 Westlake (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/02 A #250 Bay (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/08 H #500 Normandy (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 17 (87%)
10/16 H #278 Valley Forge (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/23 A #281 North Olmsted (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 18 (12%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
38% (bubble if 5-5), 19% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.65 ( 0.65-34.40) 46% in, 24% home, 7% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 14%
Lose: 2.90 ( 0.00-28.15) 11% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 29.10 (24.45-34.40) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 98%
( 2%) 9W: 24.65 (18.20-30.85) 100% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 81%
( 5%) 8W: 20.55 (12.20-27.35) 100% in, 97% home, 38% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 38%
( 8%) 7W: 16.95 (10.95-25.00) 99% in, 78% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), St Francis (Toledo) (0-0) 8%
(11%) 6W: 13.75 ( 7.65-21.95) 94% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 9%
(14%) 5W: 10.80 ( 5.05-20.05) 60% in, 6% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 8.30 ( 4.00-14.40) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 10%
(16%) 3W: 5.80 ( 1.75-11.90) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(14%) 2W: 3.40 ( 1.15- 9.55) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 9%) 1W: 1.70 ( 0.50- 5.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Francis (Toledo) (0-0) 8%
Start (0-0) 7%
Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 7%
Rhodes (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Avon (0-0) 15%
Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 14%
North Ridgeville (0-0) 11%
Olmsted Falls (0-0) 9%
Findlay (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 135.5, #119, D2 #36), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 6-4), 37% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 7-3
Last season 94.7