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Rankings
#96 of 100 in Division 2
#24 of 25 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #78 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #94 in D2 (-863 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 52-6 H #224 Holy Name (2-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 28 (10%), perf. rating 55
08/28 L 55-0 A #393 Ravenna (2-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 26 (10%), perf. rating 36
09/04 L 42-0 A #209 Geneva (2-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 41 (1%), perf. rating 61
09/11 H #461 Westlake (1-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 20 (12%)
09/18 A #476 Bay (0-3) D4 R14, pick: L by 21 (9%)
09/25 H #83 Rocky River (3-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/02 H #253 Buckeye (0-3) D4 R14, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/08 A #363 Lakewood (3-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/16 H #349 North Olmsted (0-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/23 A #459 Valley Forge (0-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.22 ( 1.11-16.23) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-13.20) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 4W: 8.26 ( 6.14-12.70) 28% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 3W: 5.03 ( 3.32- 9.88) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 7%) 2W: 2.82 ( 1.51-10.39) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(23%) 1W: 1.11 ( 0.50- 5.75) out, proj. out
(66%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLWLLLL: 5.65 ( 3.93- 5.65) out
( 1%) WWLLLLW: 4.02 ( 3.82- 5.84) out
( 2%) LLLLWLL: 3.53 ( 2.42- 5.75) out
( 2%) LLLLLWL: 1.81 ( 0.60- 3.43) out
( 6%) WLLLLLL: 1.11 ( 1.11- 3.93) out
( 7%) LLLLLLW: 0.60 ( 0.60- 2.92) out
( 6%) LWLLLLL: 0.50 ( 0.50- 3.43) out
(66%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 63.4, #580, D2 #96), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 65.4, #582, D2 #95), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 72.7, #542, D2 #93), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 79.2, #500, D2 #88), 9% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 75.7