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Rankings
#13 of 101 in Division 4
#4 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #29 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #16 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #175 Manchester (Akron) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 5 (59%)
08/29 A #524 John Marshall (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 38 (97%)
09/04 H #57 Lake (Uniontown) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 16 (19%)
09/11 H #408 Lakewood (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 32 (97%)
09/18 A #278 Valley Forge (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 19 (88%)
09/25 A #500 Normandy (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/02 H #281 North Olmsted (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/08 H #439 Westlake (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/16 A #94 Buckeye (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/23 H #250 Bay (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 19 (89%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
18.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
90% (bubble if 4-6), 74% home (maybe if 6-4), 44% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.25 ( 2.80-36.55) 97% in, 88% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 62%
Lose: 14.50 ( 0.00-31.85) 79% in, 53% home, 20% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 26%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 10W: 29.75 (23.20-36.55) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(17%) 9W: 26.15 (18.10-32.20) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 96%
(20%) 8W: 22.00 (14.70-30.65) 100% in, 99% home, 69% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 69%
(19%) 7W: 18.35 (12.00-25.35) 99% in, 93% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 25%
(14%) 6W: 14.70 ( 8.80-22.20) 98% in, 61% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Hubbard (0-0) 8%
(10%) 5W: 11.35 ( 6.70-19.50) 84% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Norton (0-0) 9%
( 6%) 4W: 8.40 ( 4.25-14.60) 44% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 10%
( 3%) 3W: 5.90 ( 2.40-12.65) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 1%) 2W: 3.55 ( 1.25- 7.55) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 1%) 1W: 1.70 ( 0.60- 4.70) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 131.6, #141, D4 #13), 90% (bubble if 4-6), 74% home (maybe if 6-4), 44% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Last season 139.1