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Rankings
#14 of 107 in Division 3
#4 of 28 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #70 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #25 in D3 (+40 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 52-7 H #511 Firestone (0-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 12 (71%), perf. rating 138
08/29 W 55-6 H #498 John Marshall (2-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 43 (98%), perf. rating 141
09/05 L 34-28 A #52 Lake (Uniontown) (6-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 34 (3%), perf. rating 144
09/12 W 42-14 H #264 Valley Forge (3-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 25 (93%), perf. rating 153
09/19 W 39-13 A #381 Lakewood (4-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 139
09/26 W 48-0 H #529 Normandy (1-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 135
10/03 W 35-0 A #276 North Olmsted (2-5) D2 R6, pick: W by 17 (86%), perf. rating 166
10/09 A #449 Westlake (2-5) D2 R6, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/17 H #110 Buckeye (7-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/24 A #253 Bay (4-3) D4 R14, pick: W by 22 (93%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
26.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 79% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 26.35 (16.00-28.55) 100% in, 99% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 79%
Lose: 18.95 (13.70-25.40) 100% in, 93% home, 30% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 30%
Based on eventual number of wins
(56%) 9W: 26.95 (25.20-28.55) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(39%) 8W: 21.20 (19.30-25.40) 100% home, 59% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 59%
( 5%) 7W: 17.25 (16.00-21.20) 100% in, 98% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#9), Holy Name (4-3) 24%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(56%) WWW: 26.95 (25.20-28.55) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 3%) WWL: 23.00 (21.75-24.55) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 95%
(35%) WLW: 21.20 (19.30-22.80) 100% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 55%
( 5%) WLL: 17.25 (16.00-18.35) 100% in, 98% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#9), Holy Name (4-3) 26%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 140.5, #97, D3 #14), appears locked in and likely home, 79% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 135.4, #128, D3 #23), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 6-4), 67% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 137.8, #113, D3 #19), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 81% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 139.4, #109, D3 #20), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 80% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 135.5, #125, D3 #23), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 6-4), 62% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 126.7, #172, D3 #34), 91% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 6-4), 43% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 129.1, #155, D3 #30), 93% (bubble if 5-5), 82% home (maybe if 6-4), 49% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 114.6, #246, D3 #48), 66% (bubble if 5-5), 45% home (maybe if 6-4), 20% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 110.1