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Rankings
#77 of 102 in Division 3
#25 of 26 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #52 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #85 in D3 (-492 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 27-22 H #435 Berkshire (3-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 3 (55%), perf. rating 94
08/28 L 52-41 H #357 Edgewood (Ashtabula) (4-2) D4 R13, pick: W by 9 (67%), perf. rating 83
09/04 L 42-36 H #352 Lakewood (5-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 91
09/11 L 21-0 A #129 North (Eastlake) (6-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 35 (2%), perf. rating 104
09/18 L 16-14 H #493 Lutheran West (1-5) D3 R10, pick: W by 21 (91%), perf. rating 75
09/25 W 20-18 A #486 Lakeside (1-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 7 (67%), perf. rating 87
10/02 H #227 Madison (2-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/09 H #110 South (Willoughby) (6-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/16 A #144 West Geauga (5-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/23 A #152 Chardon (2-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
4.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.90 ( 5.40-17.00) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Lose: 4.20 ( 2.75-14.85) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 3W: 7.05 ( 5.40-10.30) out, proj. out
(91%) 2W: 4.20 ( 2.75- 5.80) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LLLW: 6.95 ( 5.95- 8.10) out
( 5%) WLLL: 6.90 ( 5.40- 8.35) out
(91%) LLLL: 4.20 ( 2.75- 5.80) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (2-4, 89.4, #429, D3 #77), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 90.6, #421, D3 #75), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 92.9, #420, D3 #75), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 90.5, #426, D3 #76), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 93.2, #407, D3 #73), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 104.1, #335, D3 #62), 38% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 102.6, #341, D3 #63), 30% (bubble if 7-3), 16% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 103.5