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Rankings
#90 of 104 in Division 7
#23 of 26 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #104 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #89 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #697 Fayetteville (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 22 (84%)
08/28 H #700 Dayton Jefferson Township (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 30 (93%)
09/04 H #698 Green (FF) (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 29 (95%)
09/11 H #695 Sciotoville Community (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 16 (83%)
09/18 A #701 Vanlue (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 33 (98%)
09/25 H #617 Clark Montessori (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/03 H #575 Belmont (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/10 A Linsly WV (0-0) D6
10/16 A #685 New Miami (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/23 A #623 Fisher Catholic (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 25 (5%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
6.08 Harbin points (divisor 89)
#11 seed in R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
46% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.56 ( 0.40-20.85) 52% in, 19% home, 3% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), New Bremen (0-0) 8%
Lose: 3.77 ( 0.00-18.04) 17% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Lehman Catholic (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 14.96 (10.12-20.85) 100% in, 99% home, 61% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 61%
( 5%) 9W: 12.19 ( 6.88-18.04) 99% in, 86% home, 20% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 20%
(12%) 8W: 9.85 ( 5.48-16.56) 96% in, 54% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), New Bremen (0-0) 8%
(20%) 7W: 7.77 ( 4.13-13.87) 80% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), New Bremen (0-0) 9%
(23%) 6W: 6.08 ( 3.28-14.92) 44% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), New Bremen (0-0) 10%
(19%) 5W: 4.78 ( 2.54-11.66) 15% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Ansonia (0-0) 11%
(12%) 4W: 3.58 ( 1.79- 9.51) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Lehman Catholic (0-0) 15%
( 6%) 3W: 2.45 ( 1.10- 7.22) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 2%) 2W: 1.54 ( 0.70- 5.39) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.74 ( 0.35- 3.55) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
New Bremen (0-0) 8%
Ridgemont (0-0) 7%
Minster (0-0) 7%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 7%
Ansonia (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Marion Local (0-0) 13%
Ansonia (0-0) 12%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 10%
New Bremen (0-0) 10%
Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 52.1, #629, D7 #69), 28% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 31.7