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Rankings
#73 of 103 in Division 7
#17 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #66 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #73 in D7 (-415 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 35-7 A #637 Buckeye Central (1-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 12 (29%), perf. rating 8
08/28 W 28-16 A #668 Crestview (Ashland) (0-4) D6 R22, pick: L by 25 (10%), perf. rating 52
09/05 W 43-36 H #639 Mapleton (1-3) D7 R25, pick: L by 3 (43%), perf. rating 55
09/11 L 14-0 H #540 St John School (3-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 23 (9%), perf. rating 49
09/19 H #502 Lakota (2-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/25 H #390 Canton Central Catholic (1-3) D5 R17, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/02 A #604 Toledo Christian (2-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 15 (17%)
10/09 A #554 Conotton Valley (2-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/16 A #436 North Baltimore (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/23 H #700 Vanlue (0-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 40 (99%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
2.29 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.48 ( 2.99-12.24) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Lose: 2.65 ( 1.52-11.52) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) 31%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 5W: 5.98 ( 4.12- 9.43) 14% in, proj. out (#9-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) 35%
(22%) 4W: 4.08 ( 2.94- 7.22) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(73%) 3W: 2.29 ( 1.87- 5.95) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 1.94 ( 1.52- 3.02) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LLWWLW: 6.23 ( 4.79- 8.45) 12% in, proj. out (#9-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) 30%
( 1%) LLLLWW: 5.93 ( 4.13- 7.22) 6% in, proj. out (#12-out), Conotton Valley (2-2) 33%
( 1%) WLWLLW: 5.30 ( 4.12- 7.37) 5% in, proj. out (#11-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) 44%
( 4%) LLLWLW: 4.54 ( 3.00- 6.40) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) 67%
( 2%) WLLLLW: 3.82 ( 2.99- 6.19) out
(14%) LLWLLW: 3.77 ( 2.94- 6.24) out
(73%) LLLLLW: 2.29 ( 1.87- 4.45) out
( 1%) LLLLLL: 1.94 ( 1.52- 3.02) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 43.9, #644, D7 #73), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 49.7, #632, D7 #71), 8% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 47.5, #642, D7 #71), 9% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 34.9, #669, D7 #85), 5% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 43.8, #655, D7 #80), 14% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 47.5