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Rankings
#99 of 104 in Division 7
#25 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #97 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #73 in D7 (-450 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 38-32 H #698 Federal Hocking (0-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 3 (55%), perf. rating 6
08/28 L 44-13 A #625 Southeastern (2-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 42 (2%), perf. rating 9
09/04 A #697 Manchester (0-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/11 H #656 Southern (Racine) (0-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 30 (4%)
09/18 H #670 Belpre (1-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 25 (6%)
09/25 H #370 Symmes Valley (2-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/02 A #639 Notre Dame (1-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/09 A #636 South Gallia (2-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/15 H #699 Sciotoville Community (0-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/23 A #485 Eastern (Beaver) (1-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
0.74 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.16 ( 0.70- 3.03) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 0.70 ( 0.35- 3.31) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 4W: 1.62 ( 1.47- 2.08) out, proj. out
(34%) 3W: 1.16 ( 1.09- 1.56) out, proj. out
(35%) 2W: 0.74 ( 0.70- 1.10) out, proj. out
(20%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 0.57) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WLWLLLWL: 1.62 ( 1.51- 1.78) out
(29%) WLLLLLWL: 1.16 ( 1.09- 1.39) out
(10%) WLLLLLLL: 0.77 ( 0.70- 1.00) out
(23%) LLLLLLWL: 0.70 ( 0.70- 0.89) out
(20%) LLLLLLLL: 0.35 ( 0.35- 0.57) out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 2.5, #696, D7 #99), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (1-0, -2.0, #698, D7 #101), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, -4.1, #698, D7 #101), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Last season -11.6