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Rankings
#107 of 107 in Division 7
#27 of 27 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #92 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #107 in D7 (-990 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 58-26 A #706 Federal Hocking (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 20 (82%), perf. rating -51
09/05 L 46-12 H #672 Manchester (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 32 (4%), perf. rating -16
09/12 L 51-0 A #684 Southern (Racine) (1-3) D7 R27, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating -30
09/19 A #697 Belpre (1-3) D6 R23, pick: L by 31 (3%)
09/26 A #480 Symmes Valley (4-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/03 H #590 Notre Dame (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/10 A #516 South Gallia (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/17 A #704 Sciotoville Community (0-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/23 H #533 Eastern (Beaver) (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-9 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 89)
out of R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 0.84 ( 0.84- 5.16) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-11.27) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(11%) 1W: 0.84 ( 0.39- 4.32) out, proj. out
(88%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLWLL: 3.03 ( 2.52- 3.82) out
( 3%) WLLLLL: 0.84 ( 0.84- 1.68) out
( 5%) LLLLWL: 0.39 ( 0.39- 0.84) out
(88%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-3, -19.5, #708, D7 #107), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-9
Week 3 (0-2, -21.3, #708, D7 #107), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-9
Week 2 (0-1, -13.4, #707, D7 #106), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-9
Week 1 (0-1, -5.7, #707, D7 #106), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 17.3, #699, D7 #99), 13% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 20.2