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Rankings
#3 of 80 in Division 1
#1 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #3 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #60 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 A #24 Princeton (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 12 (71%)
08/28 H #90 Groveport Madison (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 32 (95%)
09/04 A Louisville Trinity KY (0-0) D1
09/11 H Christ Presbyterian IN (0-0) D2
09/18 A #10 St Xavier (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/25 A #36 La Salle (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/02 H #16 Elder (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/09 A #74 St Ignatius (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/17 H #5 St Edward (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/23 H Detroit King MI (0-0) D3
Regular season projections
7-3 record
26.10 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#1 seed in R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
95% (bubble if 3-7), 81% home (maybe if 4-6), 50% bye (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 26.56 ( 3.33-45.22) 99% in, 92% home, 64% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 65%
Lose: 16.24 ( 0.00-39.88) 85% in, 53% home, 16% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 37.74 (29.65-45.22) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(10%) 9W: 34.00 (23.95-43.12) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(18%) 8W: 30.15 (19.18-39.38) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 96%
(20%) 7W: 26.10 (13.63-34.55) 100% in, 99% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 73%
(18%) 6W: 21.95 (13.13-30.86) 100% in, 97% home, 30% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 30%
(14%) 5W: 17.89 ( 9.08-26.81) 99% in, 76% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Lebanon (0-0) 8%
(10%) 4W: 14.00 ( 7.04-22.19) 96% in, 30% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Elder (0-0) 10%
( 5%) 3W: 10.46 ( 5.05-16.64) 68% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Elder (0-0) 13%
( 2%) 2W: 7.02 ( 2.23-12.85) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Elder (0-0) 12%
( 1%) 1W: 3.39 ( 0.65- 6.68) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 4%
Lebanon (0-0) 4%
Middletown (0-0) 3%
Hamilton (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
St Xavier (0-0) 12%
Elder (0-0) 12%
Winton Woods (0-0) 10%
Princeton (0-0) 10%
Lakota West (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 179.0, #7, D1 #3), 95% (bubble if 3-7), 81% home (maybe if 4-6), 50% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 7-3
Last season 176.3