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Rankings
#12 of 100 in Division 2
#2 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #14 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #87 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #258 Colerain (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 33 (93%)
08/28 H #302 Northmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 38 (97%)
09/04 A #52 Kettering Fairmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 2 (54%)
09/11 A #16 Elder (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 17 (16%)
09/18 A #60 Badin (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/25 H #7 Archbishop Moeller (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 20 (10%)
10/02 H #102 Withrow (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/09 H #10 St Xavier (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/16 H #78 Harrison (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/23 H #395 Mount Healthy (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 42 (99%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
16.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
64% (bubble if 5-5), 46% home (maybe if 6-4), 24% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.65 ( 0.65-42.20) 67% in, 48% home, 26% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 39%
Lose: 9.55 ( 0.00-37.25) 31% in, 17% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 10W: 33.30 (23.25-42.20) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 99%
( 9%) 9W: 28.65 (18.45-39.00) 100% in, 99% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 92%
(14%) 8W: 24.65 (14.35-37.25) 100% in, 98% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 62%
(17%) 7W: 20.55 (11.60-29.85) 99% in, 79% home, 19% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 19%
(17%) 6W: 16.60 ( 8.75-26.10) 85% in, 34% home, 2% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), Talawanda (0-0) 8%
(16%) 5W: 12.75 ( 5.75-23.00) 37% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Xenia (0-0) 8%
(13%) 4W: 9.10 ( 3.65-18.55) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Harrison (0-0) 13%
( 7%) 3W: 5.95 ( 1.80-13.65) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 3%) 2W: 3.55 ( 1.20- 9.65) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.60 ( 0.55- 4.55) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Talawanda (0-0) 5%
Lima Senior (0-0) 4%
Kings (0-0) 4%
Troy (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Anderson (0-0) 14%
Harrison (0-0) 9%
Kings (0-0) 9%
Xenia (0-0) 9%
Badin (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 144.4, #78, D2 #24), 81% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 6-4), 38% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 153.2