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Rankings
#2 of 79 in Division 1
#2 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #23 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #2 in D1 (+573 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 31-24 H #2 Archbishop Moeller (5-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 12 (28%), perf. rating 196
08/28 W 28-7 A #48 Middletown (4-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 22 (87%), perf. rating 186
09/04 W 49-6 H #100 Colerain (4-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 30 (95%), perf. rating 200
09/11 W 56-7 H #345 Sycamore (0-7) D1 R4, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 164
09/18 W 27-24 H #6 Lakota West (6-1) D1 R4, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 185
09/25 W 48-22 A #61 Lakota East (4-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 25 (94%), perf. rating 188
10/02 W 47-0 H #121 Mason (2-5) D1 R4, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 196
10/09 A #299 Hamilton (1-6) D1 R4, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/16 H #73 Oak Hills (4-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/23 H #101 Fairfield (3-4) D1 R4, pick: W by 36 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
36.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 36.75 (28.35-37.30) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
Based on eventual number of wins
(97%) 10W: 36.75 (35.45-37.30) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
( 3%) 9W: 33.40 (31.55-36.00) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(97%) WWW: 36.75 (35.45-37.30) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
( 1%) WLW: 32.90 (31.60-33.45) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 184.5, #4, D1 #2), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 6 (6-0, 184.2, #5, D1 #2), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 181.3, #7, D1 #3), appears locked in and likely home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 4 (4-0, 178.8, #10, D1 #5), likely in and likely home, 94% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 179.3, #12, D1 #5), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 85% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 175.6, #13, D1 #5), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 6-4), 75% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 172.8, #14, D1 #6), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 89% home (maybe if 6-4), 66% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 165.2, #24, D1 #10), 87% (bubble if 4-6), 69% home (maybe if 6-4), 42% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 165.1