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Rankings
#30 of 80 in Division 1
#6 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #4 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #17 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #1 Avon (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 37 (4%)
08/28 A #20 Pickerington North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 23 (12%)
09/04 H #17 Mentor (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 22 (11%)
09/11 A #4 Walsh Jesuit (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 31 (3%)
09/18 H #524 John Marshall (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 46 (99%)
09/25 A #117 Benedictine (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 8 (69%)
10/02 H #5 St Edward (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 28 (4%)
10/09 H #7 Archbishop Moeller (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/16 A #10 St Xavier (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/23 H Football North ON (0-0) D4
Regular season projections
3-7 record
8.34 Harbin points (divisor 94)
#11 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
62% (bubble if 2-8), 25% home (maybe if 4-6), 6% bye (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.47 ( 4.49-45.09) 98% in, 75% home, 37% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 38%
Lose: 7.44 ( 0.00-40.28) 60% in, 23% home, 5% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 34.62 (26.77-42.30) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 1%) 8W: 29.39 (22.67-39.46) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 97%
( 3%) 7W: 24.83 (15.95-33.76) 100% in, 99% home, 78% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 78%
( 5%) 6W: 20.45 ( 9.82-29.34) 100% in, 98% home, 39% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 39%
( 9%) 5W: 16.34 ( 8.06-25.92) 99% in, 83% home, 9% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 9%
(16%) 4W: 12.23 ( 4.59-22.82) 98% in, 45% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
(26%) 3W: 8.34 ( 2.76-16.53) 78% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Hudson (0-0) 10%
(28%) 2W: 5.18 ( 1.20-11.51) 30% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Hudson (0-0) 12%
(13%) 1W: 2.41 ( 0.50- 6.71) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 8%
Hudson (0-0) 8%
Strongsville (0-0) 8%
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Mentor (0-0) 19%
St Edward (0-0) 17%
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 15%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 11%
Hudson (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 145.4, #74, D1 #30), 62% (bubble if 2-8), 25% home (maybe if 4-6), 6% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 3-7
Last season 143.7