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Rankings
#91 of 107 in Division 6
#21 of 27 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #65 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #81 in D6 (-323 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 56-13 A #690 Wellsville (1-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 83
08/28 W 35-0 A #660 Jackson-Milton (0-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 90
09/04 L 28-7 H #613 Mathews (2-1) D7 R25, pick: W by 26 (93%), perf. rating 23
09/11 H #590 Southeast (0-3) D5 R17, pick: L by 4 (41%)
09/18 A #492 LaBrae (2-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 25 (6%)
09/25 A #194 Liberty (3-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/02 H #392 Crestview (Columbiana) (1-2) D5 R17, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/09 A #230 Garfield (3-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/16 H #323 Brookfield (2-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/23 H #638 Champion (2-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 10 (74%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
2.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.65 ( 1.50-14.95) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Lose: 2.75 ( 1.05-11.35) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 6W: 8.25 ( 7.35-12.70) 11% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 7%) 5W: 5.95 ( 5.00-11.00) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(30%) 4W: 3.70 ( 2.85- 8.95) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(39%) 3W: 2.75 ( 1.50- 6.15) out, proj. out
(22%) 2W: 1.40 ( 1.05- 3.70) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLWLLW: 8.10 ( 7.35- 9.20) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out), Smithville (3-0) 40%
( 2%) WLLWLLW: 5.75 ( 5.00- 7.90) out
( 4%) WWLLLLW: 5.65 ( 5.20- 8.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Hillsdale (3-0) 100%
( 2%) LWLLLLW: 4.75 ( 3.95- 7.45) out
(25%) WLLLLLW: 3.65 ( 3.25- 6.00) out
(31%) LLLLLLW: 2.75 ( 2.40- 5.50) out
( 7%) WLLLLLL: 2.20 ( 1.50- 4.30) out
(22%) LLLLLLL: 1.40 ( 1.05- 3.70) out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 56.0, #612, D6 #91), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (2-0, 67.8, #573, D6 #78), 7% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 52.2, #631, D6 #95), 5% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 31.9, #677, D6 #105), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 36.8