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Rankings
#61 of 103 in Division 7
#14 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #68 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #59 in D7 (-235 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 34-27 H #662 Jackson-Milton (0-7) D7 R25, pick: L by 28 (10%), perf. rating 45
08/28 L 20-6 H #530 Columbiana (5-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 53
09/04 W 28-7 A #619 Newton Falls (2-5) D6 R21, pick: L by 26 (7%), perf. rating 87
09/11 L 31-14 H #549 Pymatuning Valley (3-4) D6 R21, pick: L by 19 (13%), perf. rating 43
09/18 W 32-28 A #670 Leetonia (2-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 21 (91%), perf. rating 41
09/24 W 41-7 H Madonna WV (1-5) D7
10/02 W 49-0 A #696 Cardinal (0-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 35 (99%), perf. rating 66
10/09 H #551 St John School (5-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/16 H #502 Grand Valley (5-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/23 A #515 Conotton Valley (5-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 25 (5%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
4.74 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
45% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.77 ( 6.94-14.96) 100% in, 52% home, 11% bye, proj. #8 (#2-#12), Lowellville (4-3) 18%
Lose: 4.74 ( 3.96-11.98) 37% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 23%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 7W: 10.64 ( 9.15-11.98) 100% in, 99% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), bye 42%
(18%) 6W: 7.72 ( 6.53- 9.26) 99% in, 38% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Monroeville (3-4) 23%
(78%) 5W: 4.74 ( 3.96- 6.80) 30% in, proj. out (#10-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 28%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWL: 10.90 ( 9.71-11.73) 100% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#7), bye 51%
( 1%) WLW: 10.64 ( 9.15-11.47) 100% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#7), bye 45%
(11%) WLL: 7.72 ( 6.94- 9.26) 100% in, 39% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Lowellville (4-3) 23%
( 4%) LLW: 7.67 ( 6.53- 8.80) 100% in, 28% home, proj. #10 (#6-#12), Lowellville (4-3) 22%
( 4%) LWL: 7.61 ( 6.74- 8.75) 99% in, 44% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Monroeville (3-4) 27%
(78%) LLL: 4.74 ( 3.96- 6.80) 30% in, proj. out (#10-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 28%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 52.0, #625, D7 #61), 45% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (4-2, 50.9, #627, D7 #63), 48% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 5 (3-2, 50.5, #625, D7 #64), 42% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 53.0, #622, D7 #62), 50% (bubble if 5-5), 17% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 55.8, #613, D7 #61), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 41.2, #652, D7 #75), 16% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 44.0, #648, D7 #76), 46% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 29.8, #679, D7 #89), 13% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 35.8