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Rankings
#89 of 104 in Division 7
#22 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #82 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #591 Jackson-Milton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 28 (10%)
08/28 H #521 Columbiana (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 34 (4%)
09/04 A #677 Newton Falls (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 4 (41%)
09/11 H #432 Pymatuning Valley (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 41 (1%)
09/18 A #674 Leetonia (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 6 (35%)
09/26 A Madonna WV (0-0) D7
10/02 A #691 Cardinal (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/09 H #625 St John School (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/16 H #619 Grand Valley (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/23 A #557 Conotton Valley (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.29 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
13% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.08 ( 0.35-21.56) 42% in, 16% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 8%
Lose: 2.54 ( 0.00-17.28) 10% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 12.59 ( 8.92-16.57) 100% in, 84% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#12), bye 13%
( 3%) 7W: 10.43 ( 5.92-15.36) 97% in, 50% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 8%
( 5%) 6W: 8.27 ( 4.75-14.24) 80% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 8%
( 9%) 5W: 6.39 ( 3.28-10.63) 37% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 10%
(14%) 4W: 4.77 ( 1.81- 9.92) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 12%
(18%) 3W: 3.29 ( 1.10- 9.21) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
(22%) 2W: 2.13 ( 0.70- 5.85) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(19%) 1W: 1.06 ( 0.35- 3.72) out, proj. out
( 8%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
Fairport Harding (0-0) 7%
Malvern (0-0) 7%
Monroeville (0-0) 7%
Mogadore (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
McDonald (0-0) 18%
Dalton (0-0) 13%
Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) 11%
Mogadore (0-0) 10%
W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 29.8, #679, D7 #89), 13% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 35.8