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Rankings
#11 of 106 in Division 5
#5 of 28 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #73 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #17 in D5 (+193 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 37-28 H #336 John F Kennedy (Warren) (4-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 18 (80%), perf. rating 116
08/28 W 48-13 A #425 Crestwood (1-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 27 (91%), perf. rating 145
09/04 W 40-14 A #381 Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 16 (81%), perf. rating 138
09/11 W 49-0 H #519 LaBrae (4-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 32 (97%), perf. rating 138
09/18 W 53-0 A #620 Champion (2-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 48 (99%), perf. rating 118
09/25 W 47-7 A #548 Southeast (3-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 133
10/02 W 43-14 H #241 Liberty (6-1) D5 R17, pick: W by 1 (53%), perf. rating 158
10/09 H #619 Newton Falls (2-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/16 A #461 Crestview (Columbiana) (2-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/23 A #330 Brookfield (5-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 24 (94%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
24.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, 94% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 24.30 (18.10-25.70) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 95%
Based on eventual number of wins
(92%) 10W: 24.35 (22.10-25.70) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 99%
( 7%) 9W: 21.30 (19.45-24.15) 100% home, 32% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#7), bye 32%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(92%) WWW: 24.35 (22.10-25.70) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 99%
( 6%) WWL: 21.00 (19.45-22.60) 100% home, 20% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#7), Bellaire (4-3) 26%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 132.9, #133, D5 #11), appears locked in and home, 94% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 6 (6-0, 124.6, #188, D5 #18), appears locked in, 98% home, 52% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 122.1, #204, D5 #20), appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 51% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 124.2, #187, D5 #15), likely in and likely home, 64% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 119.1, #230, D5 #21), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 47% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 114.0, #260, D5 #28), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 89% home (maybe if 7-3), 55% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 108.5, #295, D5 #33), 92% (bubble if 5-5), 74% home (maybe if 7-3), 37% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 109.9, #282, D5 #33), 84% (bubble if 6-4), 65% home (maybe if 7-3), 29% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Last season 113.5