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Rankings
#64 of 107 in Division 6
#14 of 27 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #55 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #692 Cardinal (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 42 (97%)
08/28 A #432 Pymatuning Valley (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 16 (21%)
09/04 A #342 McDonald (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 25 (8%)
09/11 A #282 Garfield (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 29 (4%)
09/18 H #678 Newton Falls (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 36 (99%)
09/25 H #634 Champion (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/02 A #491 Brookfield (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/09 H #332 Liberty (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/16 A #590 Southeast (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/23 H #255 Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 29 (3%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
31% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.55 ( 0.35-25.80) 32% in, 13% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Lose: 3.10 ( 0.00-19.10) 11% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 22.30 (18.45-25.80) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 2%) 9W: 19.00 (13.85-22.70) 100% in, 99% home, 71% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 71%
( 5%) 8W: 15.80 (11.70-20.75) 99% in, 92% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 24%
( 9%) 7W: 12.70 ( 8.05-19.20) 97% in, 49% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Wickliffe (0-0) 9%
(15%) 6W: 9.95 ( 5.90-15.85) 71% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Wickliffe (0-0) 10%
(20%) 5W: 7.30 ( 4.10-13.45) 21% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Pymatuning Valley (0-0) 13%
(22%) 4W: 5.10 ( 2.80-10.10) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), United (0-0) 12%
(17%) 3W: 3.20 ( 1.55- 7.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 8%) 2W: 1.80 ( 0.75- 5.65) out, proj. out
( 2%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 2.30) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wickliffe (0-0) 8%
Pymatuning Valley (0-0) 8%
United (0-0) 7%
Columbia (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Kirtland (0-0) 20%
Hillsdale (0-0) 13%
United (0-0) 10%
South Range (0-0) 9%
Columbia (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 156.7, #35, D6 #2), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 83% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 77.3