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Rankings
#72 of 108 in Division 6
#18 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #53 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #46 in D6 (-100 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 49-0 H #696 Cardinal (0-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 42 (97%), perf. rating 62
08/28 W 40-30 A #554 Pymatuning Valley (3-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 6 (62%), perf. rating 87
09/04 L 28-0 A #335 McDonald (6-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 28 (6%), perf. rating 64
09/11 L 49-0 A #188 Garfield (6-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 32 (3%), perf. rating 64
09/18 W 28-13 H #612 Newton Falls (2-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 24 (93%), perf. rating 76
09/25 W 21-17 H #624 Champion (2-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 27 (96%), perf. rating 56
10/02 A #297 Brookfield (4-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/09 H #184 Liberty (6-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/16 A #546 Southeast (2-4) D5 R17, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/23 H #463 Crestview (Columbiana) (1-5) D5 R17, pick: L by 12 (21%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.20 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.23 ( 8.01-14.72) 37% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Lose: 6.80 ( 5.09-14.26) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(14%) 6W: 8.91 ( 8.51-13.06) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(38%) 5W: 7.20 ( 6.80-10.03) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(47%) 4W: 5.49 ( 5.09- 7.26) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(12%) LLWW: 8.91 ( 8.51-10.18) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out), Brookfield (4-2) 25%
(29%) LLWL: 7.20 ( 6.80- 8.87) out
( 9%) LLLW: 7.20 ( 6.80- 8.46) out
(47%) LLLL: 5.49 ( 5.09- 7.26) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (4-2, 71.0, #548, D6 #72), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (3-2, 76.2, #520, D6 #68), 5% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 78.3, #501, D6 #64), 5% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 80.9, #492, D6 #66), 13% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (2-0, 79.8, #492, D6 #66), 26% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 77.7, #505, D6 #67), 28% (bubble if 6-4), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 77.3, #512, D6 #64), 30% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 77.3