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Rankings
#90 of 105 in Division 5
#25 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #85 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #25 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #477 Rootstown (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 18 (20%)
08/28 A #619 Grand Valley (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 5 (60%)
09/04 H #579 Cuyahoga Falls (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 A #677 Newton Falls (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 26 (94%)
09/18 H #255 Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 36 (1%)
09/25 H #282 Garfield (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 34 (2%)
10/02 A #634 Champion (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/09 H #491 Brookfield (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/16 H #512 LaBrae (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/23 A #332 Liberty (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
16% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.15 ( 0.40-25.20) 39% in, 14% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Berkshire (0-0) 8%
Lose: 4.25 ( 0.00-21.20) 10% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 18.08 (13.15-22.60) 99% in, 93% home, 24% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 24%
( 3%) 8W: 15.00 ( 9.50-20.75) 97% in, 58% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Girard (0-0) 8%
( 7%) 7W: 12.20 ( 7.30-17.50) 77% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Garfield (0-0) 8%
(11%) 6W: 9.75 ( 5.15-16.45) 39% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Girard (0-0) 10%
(14%) 5W: 7.65 ( 3.45-14.10) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Barnesville (0-0) 10%
(16%) 4W: 5.75 ( 2.65-10.65) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(16%) 3W: 4.05 ( 1.55- 8.95) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(15%) 2W: 2.30 ( 0.80- 6.70) out, proj. out
(11%) 1W: 0.80 ( 0.40- 4.30) out, proj. out
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Girard (0-0) 8%
Berkshire (0-0) 8%
Garfield (0-0) 7%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 7%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 22%
Barnesville (0-0) 14%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 10%
Girard (0-0) 9%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 77.5, #508, D5 #75), 20% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 65.2