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Rankings
#64 of 106 in Division 5
#18 of 28 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #53 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #59 in D5 (-231 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 28-7 A #556 Field (2-5) D4 R13, pick: L by 5 (41%), perf. rating 103
08/28 W 55-0 H #623 Normandy (0-7) D2 R6, pick: W by 26 (90%), perf. rating 114
09/04 L 33-26 H #443 Niles McKinley (3-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 31 (96%), perf. rating 76
09/11 W 40-0 H #669 Springfield (Akron) (0-7) D4 R13, pick: W by 45 (99%), perf. rating 91
09/18 L 49-0 H #171 Woodridge (6-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 29 (3%), perf. rating 62
09/25 L 31-6 A #278 Tallmadge (4-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 23 (7%), perf. rating 76
10/02 L 63-14 H #159 Streetsboro (5-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 30 (3%), perf. rating 64
10/09 A #510 Cuyahoga Falls (3-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/16 H #227 Cloverleaf (6-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/23 A #321 Kent Roosevelt (4-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 5-5), no home game
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.45 ( 5.45-13.60) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out), Conneaut (6-1) 30%
Lose: 3.30 ( 3.30-11.45) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 5W: 8.80 ( 8.75-11.45) 21% in, proj. out (#10-out), Conneaut (6-1) 39%
(54%) 4W: 5.45 ( 5.45- 8.10) out, proj. out
(38%) 3W: 3.30 ( 3.30- 4.50) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWL: 9.65 ( 9.10-10.75) 39% in, proj. out (#10-out), Conneaut (6-1) 39%
( 5%) WLW: 8.80 ( 8.75-10.40) 10% in, proj. out (#11-out), Conneaut (6-1) 43%
( 1%) LWL: 6.95 ( 6.95- 8.10) out
( 2%) LLW: 6.65 ( 6.05- 7.65) out
(51%) WLL: 5.45 ( 5.45- 7.05) out
(38%) LLL: 3.30 ( 3.30- 4.50) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 84.6, #472, D5 #64), 2% (bubble if 5-5), no home game, proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (3-3, 87.8, #444, D5 #59), 4% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (3-2, 89.1, #432, D5 #55), 10% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (3-1, 93.0, #416, D5 #54), 16% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (2-1, 96.2, #393, D5 #49), 30% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (2-0, 108.2, #304, D5 #34), 67% (bubble if 6-4), 42% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 100.0, #367, D5 #46), 43% (bubble if 6-4), 21% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 87.9, #449, D5 #64), 34% (bubble if 6-4), 15% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 86.2