Region 9 home page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 9 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#69 of 102 in Division 3
#23 of 26 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #67 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #70 in D3 (-280 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 28-21 A #428 Shaker Heights (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 28 (90%), perf. rating 81
08/28 W 41-6 A #463 Lakeside (2-6) D3 R9, pick: W by 33 (95%), perf. rating 140
09/04 W 42-0 H #622 Normandy (0-8) D2 R6, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 113
09/11 L 13-10 A #366 Edgewood (Ashtabula) (4-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 17 (84%), perf. rating 97
09/18 W 21-14 H #528 Jefferson Area (0-8) D4 R13, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 84
09/25 L 42-0 H #34 Perry (8-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 94
10/02 L 45-7 H #90 South (Willoughby) (8-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 26 (5%), perf. rating 82
10/09 L 42-0 A #117 West Geauga (7-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 28 (3%), perf. rating 75
10/16 A #204 Hawken (6-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/23 H #444 Orange (3-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.90 ( 6.30-10.60) out, proj. out
Lose: 5.30 ( 2.70- 7.05) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 5W: 8.90 ( 8.90-10.60) out, proj. out
(75%) 4W: 5.30 ( 5.30- 7.40) out, proj. out
(20%) 3W: 2.70 ( 2.70- 4.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) WW: 8.90 ( 8.90-10.60) out
(74%) LW: 5.30 ( 5.30- 7.05) out
(20%) LL: 2.70 ( 2.70- 4.35) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 101.7, #357, D3 #67), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (3-3, 106.7, #315, D3 #62), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (3-2, 107.3, #311, D3 #61), 2% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (2-2, 115.5, #258, D3 #45), 8% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 121.6, #209, D3 #37), 34% (likely needs 7-3), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye, proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 123.7, #192, D3 #34), 41% (likely needs 7-3), 20% home (likely needs 8-2), 3% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 125.4, #177, D3 #32), 58% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 139.8, #97, D3 #12), 79% (bubble if 7-3), 56% home (maybe if 8-2), 22% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #4 at 9-1
Last season 142.7