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Rankings
#74 of 104 in Division 7
#22 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #49 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #45 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #635 Swanton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 1 (52%)
08/28 A #308 Paulding (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 40 (2%)
09/04 A #435 Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 34 (3%)
09/11 H Sand Creek MI (0-0) D7
09/18 A Whiteford MI (0-0) D7
09/25 A Petersburg-Summerfd. MI (0-0) D7
10/02 H Erie-Mason MI (0-0) D6
10/09 A #461 Edon (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/16 H #576 Montpelier (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/23 H #675 Hilltop (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.29 Harbin points (divisor 96)
#12 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
34% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.80 ( 0.45-21.72) 45% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Edon (0-0) 11%
Lose: 5.06 ( 0.00-16.50) 23% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Edon (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 14.04 (10.92-18.63) 100% in, 95% home, 20% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), bye 20%
( 3%) 7W: 12.08 ( 8.59-16.92) 99% in, 72% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Edon (0-0) 9%
( 9%) 6W: 9.80 ( 6.36-14.39) 95% in, 31% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Edon (0-0) 11%
(18%) 5W: 7.99 ( 4.87-13.57) 71% in, 6% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Edon (0-0) 11%
(24%) 4W: 6.29 ( 3.32-10.25) 29% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Edon (0-0) 13%
(23%) 3W: 4.75 ( 1.88- 8.86) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Edon (0-0) 13%
(15%) 2W: 3.25 ( 0.80- 6.27) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 5%) 1W: 1.50 ( 0.35- 3.48) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Edon (0-0) 11%
North Baltimore (0-0) 10%
Mohawk (0-0) 9%
Arlington (0-0) 8%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 8%
Most likely second round opponents
Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) 19%
Gibsonburg (0-0) 17%
Leipsic (0-0) 14%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 12%
Mohawk (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 116.2, #228, D7 #5), 93% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 6-4), 46% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 54.3