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Rankings
#37 of 107 in Division 6
#13 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #62 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #67 in D6 (-200 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 18-6 A #447 Crestview (Convoy) (0-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 108
08/28 W 46-0 H #629 North Central (0-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 44 (99%), perf. rating 110
09/04 L 21-20 H #401 Jefferson (3-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 19 (86%), perf. rating 92
09/11 A #544 Antwerp (1-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 25 (93%)
09/18 H #353 Wayne Trace (2-1) D7 R26, pick: W by 2 (55%)
09/25 A #532 Ayersville (1-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/02 A #271 Fairview (Sherwood) (2-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/09 H #621 Edgerton (0-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/16 A #653 Hicksville (0-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/23 H #374 Tinora (0-3) D6 R22, pick: W by 5 (63%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
8.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
36% (bubble if 8-2), 9% home (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.48 ( 2.55-16.50) 38% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-0) 15%
Lose: 5.75 ( 1.50-13.75) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(14%) 9W: 14.40 (13.20-16.50) 100% in, 60% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Delta (3-0) 15%
(30%) 8W: 11.15 ( 9.65-14.85) 67% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-0) 22%
(29%) 7W: 8.60 ( 6.75-13.25) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-0) 23%
(20%) 6W: 6.40 ( 4.65-10.20) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 6%) 5W: 4.65 ( 3.20- 8.40) out, proj. out
( 1%) 4W: 3.25 ( 1.80- 5.50) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(14%) WWWWWWW: 14.40 (13.20-16.50) 100% in, 60% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Delta (3-0) 15%
( 4%) WWWWWWL: 12.15 (10.65-14.10) 88% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-0) 18%
( 4%) WLWWWWW: 11.40 ( 9.95-12.95) 86% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-0) 19%
(22%) WWWLWWW: 10.95 ( 9.65-13.45) 59% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-0) 24%
(10%) WWWLWWL: 8.95 ( 7.50-11.65) 5% in, proj. out (#10-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-0) 26%
(14%) WLWLWWW: 8.20 ( 6.75-10.45) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-0) 21%
(14%) WLWLWWL: 6.10 ( 4.95- 9.10) out
( 1%) LLLLWWL: 2.95 ( 1.80- 4.75) out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 102.2, #355, D6 #37), 36% (bubble if 8-2), 9% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 109.7, #293, D6 #26), 75% (bubble if 8-2), 29% home (maybe if 9-1), 3% bye, proj. #10 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 111.9, #275, D6 #23), 82% (bubble if 7-3), 43% home (maybe if 9-1), 8% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #9 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 105.8, #308, D6 #26), 67% (bubble if 7-3), 41% home (maybe if 8-2), 12% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #7 at 8-2
Last season 108.5