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Rankings
#38 of 103 in Division 7
#13 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #73 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #24 in D7 (+105 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 21-14 H #533 Antwerp (3-5) D7 R26, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 83
08/28 W 25-7 A #613 Swanton (1-7) D5 R18, pick: W by 16 (79%), perf. rating 84
09/04 W 33-14 A #638 Edgerton (0-8) D7 R26, pick: W by 12 (75%), perf. rating 76
09/11 W 39-8 H Erie-Mason MI (1-6) D7
09/18 W 34-0 H Petersburg-Summerfd. MI (2-5) D7
09/25 L 58-6 A Whiteford MI (5-2) D6
10/02 L 44-36 A Sand Creek MI (4-3) D7
10/10 W 52-29 H #652 Hilltop (4-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 31 (98%), perf. rating 74
10/17 A #630 North Central (3-5) D7 R26, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 H #379 Edon (7-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 18 (12%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
9.11 Harbin points (divisor 96)
#8 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 62% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.11 ( 8.38-13.47) 100% in, 66% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Gibsonburg (3-4) 32%
Lose: 7.30 ( 6.58-11.35) 99% in, 9% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Pandora-Gilboa (4-4) 28%
Based on eventual number of wins
(11%) 8W: 12.38 (11.65-13.47) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#7), Jefferson (3-5) 33%
(83%) 7W: 9.11 ( 8.38-11.35) 100% in, 61% home, proj. #8 (#7-#11), Gibsonburg (3-4) 36%
( 7%) 6W: 7.30 ( 6.58- 8.55) 99% in, 4% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Pandora-Gilboa (4-4) 28%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(11%) WW: 12.38 (11.65-13.47) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#7), Jefferson (3-5) 33%
(82%) WL: 9.11 ( 8.38-10.73) 100% in, 61% home, proj. #8 (#7-#11), Gibsonburg (3-4) 37%
( 7%) LL: 7.30 ( 6.58- 8.55) 99% in, 4% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Pandora-Gilboa (4-4) 28%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 78.1, #512, D7 #38), likely in, 66% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 6 (5-1, 79.7, #497, D7 #35), likely in, 90% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye, proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 5 (5-0, 78.4, #504, D7 #34), likely in, 97% home, 7% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 77.6, #507, D7 #34), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 13% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 77.8, #512, D7 #36), likely in, 84% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 71.7, #548, D7 #48), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 66% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 69.3, #564, D7 #49), 90% (bubble if 4-6), 52% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 66.1, #576, D7 #51), 62% (bubble if 5-5), 24% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 5-5
Last season 70.5