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Rankings
#51 of 104 in Division 7
#16 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #65 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #43 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #571 Antwerp (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 1 (52%)
08/28 A #635 Swanton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 14 (76%)
09/04 A #455 Edgerton (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 22 (11%)
09/11 H Erie-Mason MI (0-0) D6
09/18 H Petersburg-Summerfd. MI (0-0) D7
09/25 A Whiteford MI (0-0) D7
10/02 A Sand Creek MI (0-0) D7
10/10 H #675 Hilltop (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/16 A #640 North Central (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/23 H #461 Edon (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 18 (12%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.58 Harbin points (divisor 96)
#11 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
62% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.60 ( 0.35-19.38) 79% in, 38% home, 5% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), Edon (0-0) 11%
Lose: 6.66 ( 0.00-17.10) 44% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Edon (0-0) 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 15.18 (11.42-18.35) 100% in, 99% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 42%
( 8%) 8W: 13.11 ( 9.46-17.12) 100% in, 91% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 12%
(15%) 7W: 11.14 ( 7.70-15.57) 99% in, 62% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Edon (0-0) 10%
(20%) 6W: 9.29 ( 5.48-14.13) 93% in, 22% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Edon (0-0) 12%
(20%) 5W: 7.58 ( 4.40-12.32) 65% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Edon (0-0) 13%
(17%) 4W: 6.03 ( 2.59- 9.84) 26% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Edon (0-0) 13%
(10%) 3W: 4.49 ( 1.62- 8.03) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 5%) 2W: 2.99 ( 0.80- 6.22) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 1W: 1.50 ( 0.35- 3.32) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Edon (0-0) 11%
Mohawk (0-0) 9%
North Baltimore (0-0) 9%
Arlington (0-0) 8%
Edgerton (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) 18%
Gibsonburg (0-0) 16%
Leipsic (0-0) 15%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 12%
Mohawk (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 81.7, #489, D7 #34), 88% (bubble if 5-5), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Last season 70.5