Region 22 home page
Region 22 projections
Region 22 playoff probabilities
Region 22 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 22 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#38 of 107 in Division 6
#14 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #82 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #53 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #683 New London (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 47 (98%)
08/28 A #613 Toledo Christian (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 30 (93%)
09/04 A #587 Fostoria (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 27 (93%)
09/11 H #598 Elgin (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 30 (96%)
09/18 A #521 Columbiana (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 18 (87%)
09/25 A #526 Northwood (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/02 H #546 Ottawa Hills (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/09 A #247 Margaretta (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/16 H #518 Lakota (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/23 H #243 Gibsonburg (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 17 (13%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
14.22 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#3 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
73% (bubble if 6-4), 49% home (maybe if 7-3), 18% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.01 ( 0.35-25.89) 74% in, 50% home, 19% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 25%
Lose: 8.47 ( 0.00-22.93) 42% in, 22% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#2-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 10W: 20.48 (14.92-25.89) 100% in, 99% home, 88% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 88%
(18%) 9W: 17.12 ( 9.36-23.80) 99% in, 95% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 43%
(24%) 8W: 14.22 ( 7.84-20.80) 98% in, 70% home, 11% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 11%
(19%) 7W: 11.73 ( 5.30-17.70) 82% in, 30% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Paulding (0-0) 8%
(13%) 6W: 9.54 ( 4.70-16.23) 46% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 5W: 7.46 ( 3.38-13.12) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Patrick Henry (0-0) 10%
( 5%) 4W: 5.53 ( 2.31- 9.86) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 3W: 3.96 ( 1.20- 8.19) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.18 ( 0.75- 5.60) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.71 ( 0.35- 3.87) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 6%
Paulding (0-0) 6%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 6%
Van Buren (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Columbus Grove (0-0) 11%
Liberty Center (0-0) 10%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 9%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 9%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 96.7, #394, D6 #38), 73% (bubble if 6-4), 49% home (maybe if 7-3), 18% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 8-2
Last season 105.6