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Rankings
#30 of 108 in Division 6
#12 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #78 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #31 in D6 (+53 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 61-7 H #641 New London (1-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 47 (98%), perf. rating 105
08/28 W 49-6 A #562 Toledo Christian (4-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 27 (91%), perf. rating 133
09/04 W 46-13 A #589 Fostoria (0-7) D4 R14, pick: W by 25 (92%), perf. rating 112
09/11 W 41-24 H #498 Elgin (5-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 17 (84%), perf. rating 104
09/18 W 34-7 A #530 Columbiana (5-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 28 (96%), perf. rating 118
09/25 W 35-29 A #417 Northwood (4-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 11 (76%), perf. rating 103
10/02 W 33-7 H #584 Ottawa Hills (3-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 99
10/09 A #296 Margaretta (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/16 H #481 Lakota (3-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 H #387 Gibsonburg (2-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
18.75 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 79% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.23 (16.68-24.76) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 99%
Lose: 18.35 (13.66-20.82) 100% in, 99% home, 68% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#10), bye 68%
Based on eventual number of wins
(29%) 10W: 22.43 (20.51-24.76) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(50%) 9W: 18.75 (17.03-22.13) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 89%
(19%) 8W: 17.09 (15.32-20.22) 100% home, 31% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 31%
( 3%) 7W: 15.10 (13.66-16.94) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Allen East (4-3) 21%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(29%) WWW: 22.43 (20.51-24.76) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 5%) WWL: 20.62 (18.60-22.13) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 97%
(44%) LWW: 18.70 (17.03-20.82) 100% home, 88% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 88%
(16%) LWL: 17.14 (15.93-18.76) 100% home, 32% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 32%
( 3%) LLW: 16.48 (15.32-17.90) 100% home, 11% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#7), Patrick Henry (5-2) 24%
( 3%) LLL: 15.10 (13.66-16.94) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Allen East (4-3) 21%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 106.2, #318, D6 #30), appears locked in and likely home, 79% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 108.9, #303, D6 #32), appears locked in and likely home, 87% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 109.5, #295, D6 #30), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 7-3), 79% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 109.1, #301, D6 #30), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 75% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 105.1, #329, D6 #33), 95% (bubble if 6-4), 84% home (maybe if 7-3), 59% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 100.2, #361, D6 #36), 91% (bubble if 6-4), 75% home (maybe if 7-3), 42% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 94.6, #406, D6 #46), 79% (bubble if 6-4), 57% home (maybe if 7-3), 23% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 96.7, #394, D6 #38), 74% (bubble if 6-4), 49% home (maybe if 8-2), 18% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 8-2
Last season 105.6