Region 24 home page
Region 24 projections
Region 24 playoff probabilities
Region 24 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 24 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#81 of 107 in Division 6
#16 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #105 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #82 in D6 (-477 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 12-0 A #682 Dixie (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 15 (75%), perf. rating 52
08/29 L 45-6 H #526 Ridgemont (3-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 24 (11%), perf. rating 16
09/05 L 12-6 A #630 North Central (1-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 3 (43%), perf. rating 48
09/12 W 28-0 H #574 Upper Scioto Valley (2-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 35 (2%), perf. rating 107
09/19 H #667 Hardin Northern (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 23 (92%)
09/26 A #473 North Baltimore (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/03 H #694 Cory-Rawson (0-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/10 A #573 Waynesfield-Goshen (2-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/17 A #603 Elgin (2-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/24 H #665 Ridgedale (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 23 (93%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
8.12 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
79% (bubble if 5-5), 19% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.80 ( 2.85-15.05) 82% in, 20% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Dayton Christian (3-1) 15%
Lose: 5.35 ( 2.50-13.20) 44% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Dayton Christian (3-1) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 8W: 13.50 (12.15-15.05) 100% in, 99% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 37%
(19%) 7W: 10.35 ( 8.90-13.55) 100% in, 64% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Anna (3-1) 19%
(35%) 6W: 8.12 ( 6.35-11.40) 98% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Dayton Christian (3-1) 16%
(31%) 5W: 6.05 ( 4.60-10.40) 65% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 18%
(10%) 4W: 4.70 ( 2.85- 8.15) 20% in, proj. out (#9-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 24%
( 2%) 3W: 3.90 ( 2.50- 5.70) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWWWW: 13.50 (12.15-15.05) 100% in, 99% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 37%
( 3%) WWWLWW: 11.05 ( 9.65-12.75) 100% in, 82% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Anna (3-1) 22%
(15%) WLWWWW: 10.10 ( 8.90-12.15) 100% in, 59% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Anna (3-1) 19%
(22%) WLWLWW: 7.90 ( 6.75-10.05) 98% in, 6% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Dayton Christian (3-1) 16%
(10%) WLWWLW: 7.85 ( 6.35-10.35) 97% in, 8% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Dayton Christian (3-1) 16%
(25%) WLWLLW: 6.05 ( 4.60- 8.30) 62% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 19%
( 6%) WLWLLL: 4.65 ( 2.85- 6.75) 14% in, proj. out (#9-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 22%
( 1%) LLWLLL: 3.60 ( 2.50- 4.70) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 61.5, #595, D6 #81), 79% (bubble if 5-5), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 39.7, #664, D6 #96), 7% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 41.5, #660, D6 #94), 12% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 51.3, #636, D6 #90), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 15% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 50.5, #639, D6 #91), 33% (bubble if 5-5), 15% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 57.2