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Region 22 playoff probabilities
Region 22 seeding probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#89 of 108 in Division 6
#26 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #95 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #76 in D6 (-378 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 49-0 H #217 Allen East (5-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 35 (5%), perf. rating 56
08/28 W 42-0 A #661 Ridgemont (2-6) D7 R28, pick: L by 12 (27%), perf. rating 103
09/04 W 28-14 A #678 Cory-Rawson (1-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 33 (97%), perf. rating 53
09/11 L 50-20 H #471 North Baltimore (7-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 16 (17%), perf. rating 38
09/18 L 42-6 H #432 Ada (5-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 23 (8%), perf. rating 34
09/25 L 30-24 H #568 Waynesfield-Goshen (6-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 1 (53%), perf. rating 57
10/02 W 24-14 A #645 Hardin Northern (3-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 15 (83%), perf. rating 60
10/09 W 14-6 A #624 Upper Scioto Valley (4-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 3 (58%), perf. rating 66
10/16 H #485 Elgin (6-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/23 A #679 Ridgedale (0-8) D7 R28, pick: W by 27 (96%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.85 ( 8.50- 9.55) out, proj. out
Lose: 6.00 ( 5.65- 6.75) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 6W: 8.85 ( 8.85- 9.55) out, proj. out
(88%) 5W: 6.00 ( 6.00- 9.20) out, proj. out
( 4%) 4W: 5.65 ( 5.65- 6.40) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 9%) WW: 8.85 ( 8.85- 9.55) out
(87%) LW: 6.00 ( 6.00- 6.75) out
( 4%) LL: 5.65 ( 5.65- 6.40) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 58.8, #599, D6 #88), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (2-4, 57.7, #609, D6 #92), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 59.4, #600, D6 #88), 4% (bubble if 7-3), no home game, proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 61.6, #589, D6 #85), 7% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 64.8, #576, D6 #80), 16% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 66.2, #578, D6 #82), 21% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 42.1, #654, D6 #102), 3% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 45.8, #650, D6 #96), 7% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 42.6