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Rankings
#23 of 103 in Division 7
#9 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #88 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #22 in D7 (+113 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 40-7 H #627 Edgerton (0-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 99
08/28 W 35-12 A #562 Antwerp (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 105
09/04 W 50-6 H #650 Hicksville (0-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 101
09/11 W 42-0 A Petersburg-Summerfd. MI (2-1) D7
09/18 H Erie-Mason MI (1-2) D7
09/25 A Sand Creek MI (1-2) D7
10/02 H Whiteford MI (1-2) D6
10/09 H #625 North Central (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/17 A #647 Hilltop (2-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/23 A #507 Montpelier (4-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 16 (85%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
14.81 Harbin points (divisor 96)
#3 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 55% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.21 ( 7.20-18.65) 100% in, 99% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 60%
Lose: 14.15 ( 6.84-17.16) 100% in, 97% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 37%
Based on eventual number of wins
(39%) 10W: 16.62 (16.21-18.65) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#6), bye 82%
(41%) 9W: 14.81 (12.42-17.16) 100% in, 99% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#9), bye 54%
(17%) 8W: 12.80 ( 9.88-15.51) 100% in, 98% home, 10% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Jefferson (3-1) 19%
( 3%) 7W: 10.36 ( 8.28-14.01) 100% in, 83% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Pandora-Gilboa (2-2) 18%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(39%) WWWWWW: 16.62 (16.21-18.65) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#6), bye 82%
(11%) WLWWWW: 15.18 (13.67-17.05) 100% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 66%
(11%) WWLWWW: 14.97 (13.46-16.85) 100% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 62%
(11%) LWWWWW: 14.92 (13.67-17.16) 100% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 66%
( 3%) LLWWWW: 13.42 (11.50-15.30) 100% home, 20% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 20%
( 3%) LWLWWW: 13.22 (11.29-15.40) 100% in, 99% home, 14% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), Jefferson (3-1) 20%
( 7%) WWWWWL: 13.15 (12.42-14.81) 100% in, 99% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Jefferson (3-1) 23%
( 1%) WLLWWL: 9.79 ( 8.65-11.25) 100% in, 80% home, proj. #8 (#5-#10), Pandora-Gilboa (2-2) 25%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 95.9, #405, D7 #23), appears locked in and likely home, 55% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 96.9, #388, D7 #21), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 45% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 96.4, #385, D7 #20), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 7-3), 32% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 102.2, #352, D7 #18), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 37% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 86.3, #461, D7 #29), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 60% home (maybe if 6-4), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 7-3
Last season 83.6