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Rankings
#29 of 104 in Division 7
#11 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #76 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #34 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #455 Edgerton (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 1 (52%)
08/28 A #571 Antwerp (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 17 (80%)
09/04 H #614 Hicksville (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 27 (93%)
09/11 A Petersburg-Summerfd. MI (0-0) D7
09/18 H Erie-Mason MI (0-0) D6
09/25 A Sand Creek MI (0-0) D7
10/02 H Whiteford MI (0-0) D7
10/09 H #640 North Central (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/17 A #675 Hilltop (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/23 A #576 Montpelier (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
11.88 Harbin points (divisor 96)
#7 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
88% (bubble if 4-6), 60% home (maybe if 6-4), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.06 ( 1.06-21.17) 98% in, 81% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 24%
Lose: 9.49 ( 0.00-18.77) 77% in, 36% home, 3% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), Edgerton (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 17.77 (15.22-21.15) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 87%
(10%) 9W: 15.86 (12.58-21.17) 100% in, 99% home, 58% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 58%
(21%) 8W: 13.84 (10.09-19.36) 100% in, 97% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 23%
(25%) 7W: 11.88 ( 8.18-17.14) 99% in, 80% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Montpelier (0-0) 9%
(21%) 6W: 9.81 ( 6.48-14.76) 98% in, 37% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Montpelier (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 7.95 ( 4.67-12.90) 74% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), North Baltimore (0-0) 11%
( 6%) 4W: 6.19 ( 2.86-10.10) 26% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), North Baltimore (0-0) 12%
( 3%) 3W: 4.59 ( 2.14- 7.77) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 1%) 2W: 3.02 ( 1.06- 5.91) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Montpelier (0-0) 8%
Edgerton (0-0) 7%
Arlington (0-0) 7%
Mohawk (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) 16%
Gibsonburg (0-0) 14%
Leipsic (0-0) 14%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 12%
Mohawk (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 115.4, #243, D7 #9), 94% (bubble if 3-6), 85% home (maybe if 4-5), 66% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #2 at 7-2
Last season 83.6