Region 22 home page
Region 22 projections
Region 22 playoff probabilities
Region 22 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 22 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#74 of 107 in Division 6
#24 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #51 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #43 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #702 Vanlue (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 49 (99%)
08/28 H #401 Evergreen (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 22 (13%)
09/04 H #635 Swanton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 22 (89%)
09/11 H #279 Port Clinton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 31 (3%)
09/18 A #613 Toledo Christian (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 12 (77%)
09/25 H #243 Gibsonburg (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/02 A #394 Woodmore (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/09 H #518 Lakota (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/16 A #526 Northwood (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/23 A #247 Margaretta (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
4.93 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
14% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.79 ( 0.35-23.65) 14% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
Lose: 1.56 ( 0.00-21.33) 3% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 17.39 (11.98-22.69) 99% in, 93% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 46%
( 3%) 8W: 14.56 ( 8.81-21.08) 98% in, 71% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 11%
( 6%) 7W: 12.09 ( 6.64-18.00) 81% in, 28% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
(11%) 6W: 9.42 ( 4.67-15.13) 38% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 9%
(17%) 5W: 6.95 ( 3.26-13.06) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 12%
(20%) 4W: 4.93 ( 1.90-11.75) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(20%) 3W: 3.22 ( 1.20- 7.82) out, proj. out
(15%) 2W: 1.66 ( 0.70- 6.46) out, proj. out
( 7%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 3.83) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 7%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 7%
Woodmore (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 20%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 13%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 9%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 7%
Carey (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 71.6, #546, D6 #74), 14% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 56.2