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Rankings
#74 of 107 in Division 6
#24 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #50 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #43 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #701 Vanlue (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 49 (99%)
08/28 H #401 Evergreen (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 22 (13%)
09/04 H #635 Swanton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 22 (89%)
09/11 H #279 Port Clinton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 31 (3%)
09/18 A #613 Toledo Christian (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 12 (77%)
09/25 H #243 Gibsonburg (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/02 A #394 Woodmore (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/09 H #518 Lakota (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/16 A #526 Northwood (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/23 A #247 Margaretta (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
4.93 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
14% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.78 ( 0.35-24.50) 15% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 9%
Lose: 1.86 ( 0.00-15.62) 4% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 17.44 (11.18-22.94) 100% in, 96% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 45%
( 3%) 8W: 14.77 ( 9.36-20.27) 98% in, 72% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 13%
( 6%) 7W: 11.94 ( 5.73-17.95) 82% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
(11%) 6W: 9.37 ( 4.42-15.03) 40% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Woodmore (0-0) 8%
(17%) 5W: 7.00 ( 3.41-12.86) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Lima Central Catholic (0-0) 10%
(20%) 4W: 4.93 ( 1.95-10.54) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(21%) 3W: 3.22 ( 1.20- 8.73) out, proj. out
(15%) 2W: 1.66 ( 0.75- 5.60) out, proj. out
( 6%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 3.38) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 7%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 7%
Woodmore (0-0) 6%
Paulding (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 20%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 13%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 8%
Delta (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 71.5, #546, D6 #74), 14% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 56.2