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Region 23 playoff probabilities
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Rankings
#64 of 108 in Division 6
#18 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #17 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #81 in D6 (-415 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 30-21 H #419 Upper Sandusky (4-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 21 (83%), perf. rating 76
08/28 L 59-15 A #221 Smithville (7-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 12 (27%), perf. rating 59
09/04 L 41-14 H #172 North Union (6-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 32 (4%), perf. rating 84
09/11 W 41-8 H #623 Cardington-Lincoln (0-8) D6 R23, pick: W by 29 (96%), perf. rating 100
09/18 L 48-28 A #361 Centerburg (6-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 10 (27%), perf. rating 73
09/25 L 57-7 H #111 Danville (8-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 37 (1%), perf. rating 72
10/02 L 28-18 A #395 Fredericktown (6-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 17 (14%), perf. rating 83
10/09 L 26-7 A #380 East Knox (5-3) D6 R23, pick: L by 14 (18%), perf. rating 71
10/16 H #371 Mount Gilead (4-4) D6 R23, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/23 A #451 Loudonville (3-5) D7 R27, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.90 ( 2.90- 4.75) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.40 ( 0.40- 2.65) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 3W: 4.75 ( 4.70- 4.75) out, proj. out
(31%) 2W: 2.25 ( 2.20- 3.25) out, proj. out
(63%) 1W: 0.40 ( 0.40- 1.15) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WW: 4.75 ( 4.70- 4.75) out
( 9%) WL: 2.90 ( 2.90- 3.25) out
(22%) LW: 2.25 ( 2.20- 2.65) out
(63%) LL: 0.40 ( 0.40- 1.15) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 83.7, #480, D6 #62), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (1-5, 82.3, #480, D6 #62), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 83.0, #480, D6 #62), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 88.9, #435, D6 #51), 6% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 88.3, #445, D6 #58), 8% (likely needs 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 85.0, #462, D6 #58), 8% (likely needs 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 100.8, #363, D6 #34), 30% (bubble if 6-4), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 112.5, #264, D6 #21), 72% (bubble if 6-4), 54% home (maybe if 7-3), 29% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 7-3
Last season 107.3