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Rankings
#43 of 105 in Division 7
#7 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #22 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #66 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #666 Mapleton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 27 (89%)
08/28 A #684 New London (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 34 (96%)
09/04 H #192 Hillsdale (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 36 (2%)
09/11 A #382 Mount Gilead (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 25 (7%)
09/18 H #534 East Knox (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/25 H #208 Centerburg (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/02 A #331 Danville (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/09 H #399 Fredericktown (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/16 A #544 Cardington-Lincoln (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/23 H #264 Northmor (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
4.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
18% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.15 ( 0.35-24.05) 20% in, 8% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Lose: 1.20 ( 0.00-18.10) 4% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 17.33 (13.15-21.00) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 90%
( 2%) 8W: 14.15 ( 8.45-18.95) 100% in, 98% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 42%
( 5%) 7W: 11.20 ( 7.20-16.95) 98% in, 61% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 8%
( 9%) 6W: 8.65 ( 4.95-14.35) 72% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 8%
(14%) 5W: 6.35 ( 3.35-12.15) 25% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (0-0) 8%
(21%) 4W: 4.45 ( 2.15- 9.75) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Toronto (0-0) 12%
(23%) 3W: 2.90 ( 1.40- 7.70) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(19%) 2W: 1.80 ( 0.70- 6.00) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 6%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 4.00) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Conotton Valley (0-0) 7%
South Gallia (0-0) 6%
Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (0-0) 6%
Fisher Catholic (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Eastern (Beaver) (0-0) 14%
Toronto (0-0) 14%
Eastern (Reedsville) (0-0) 13%
Danville (0-0) 8%
Conotton Valley (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 80.7, #492, D7 #35), 28% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 79.8