Region 27 home page
Region 27 projections
Region 27 playoff probabilities
Region 27 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 27 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#28 of 107 in Division 7
#3 of 25 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #12 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #37 in D7 (+12 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 35-13 A #560 Worthington Christian (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 25 (87%), perf. rating 105
08/29 L 27-8 H #423 Utica (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 62
09/05 W 26-14 H #498 Lucas (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 95
09/12 L 26-22 A #431 Mount Gilead (4-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 5 (62%), perf. rating 87
09/19 H #339 Northmor (2-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 11 (25%)
09/26 A #529 Loudonville (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/03 H #522 Cardington-Lincoln (2-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/10 A #270 Centerburg (3-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/17 A #319 Fredericktown (4-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/24 H #499 East Knox (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
52% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.90 ( 5.10-19.75) 94% in, 56% home, 17% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 19%
Lose: 7.20 ( 2.20-16.80) 39% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Trimble (3-1) 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 8W: 17.60 (15.95-19.75) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) 7W: 14.00 (12.10-17.05) 100% in, 99% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 44%
(20%) 6W: 10.85 ( 8.45-15.25) 99% in, 54% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Strasburg-Franklin (4-0) 12%
(34%) 5W: 8.00 ( 5.65-12.75) 59% in, 3% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Trimble (3-1) 16%
(22%) 4W: 6.20 ( 4.10-10.50) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Miller (3-1) 16%
(10%) 3W: 4.65 ( 2.95- 8.65) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 4%) 2W: 3.50 ( 2.20- 5.25) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWW: 17.60 (15.95-19.75) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 6%) LWWLWW: 11.10 ( 9.10-14.80) 99% in, 59% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Strasburg-Franklin (4-0) 13%
(10%) WWWLLW: 10.50 ( 8.45-13.65) 99% in, 45% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Strasburg-Franklin (4-0) 12%
(27%) LWWLLW: 7.70 ( 5.65-10.70) 51% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Trimble (3-1) 16%
( 8%) LWWLLL: 6.45 ( 4.50- 8.70) 15% in, proj. out (#10-out), Miller (3-1) 20%
( 7%) LLWLLW: 6.10 ( 4.15- 8.65) 6% in, proj. out (#9-out), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) 12%
( 5%) LWLLLW: 5.75 ( 4.10- 8.30) 3% in, proj. out (#10-out), Miller (3-1) 22%
( 4%) LLLLLL: 3.50 ( 2.20- 5.25) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 90.8, #430, D7 #28), 52% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 96.0, #395, D7 #26), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 45% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 93.0, #416, D7 #26), 52% (bubble if 5-5), 32% home (maybe if 6-4), 14% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 116.7, #237, D7 #14), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 84% home (maybe if 6-4), 63% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 115.1, #243, D7 #10), 93% (bubble if 4-6), 84% home (maybe if 6-4), 67% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 8-2
Last season 112.9