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Rankings
#46 of 107 in Division 6
#13 of 27 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #37 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #23 in D6 (+90 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 31-6 A #674 Triad (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 26 (88%), perf. rating 75
08/29 W 7-6 H #447 Upper Sandusky (1-3) D4 R14, pick: L by 4 (42%), perf. rating 86
09/05 W 21-7 A #491 Grove City Christian (3-1) D6 R23, pick: W by 7 (65%), perf. rating 103
09/12 W 26-22 H #430 Danville (2-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 95
09/19 H #319 Fredericktown (4-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 14 (19%)
09/26 H #499 East Knox (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/03 A #270 Centerburg (3-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/10 H #339 Northmor (2-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/17 A #529 Loudonville (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/24 A #522 Cardington-Lincoln (2-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
55% (bubble if 7-3), 22% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.15 ( 9.25-23.85) 97% in, 65% home, 27% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 11.50 ( 5.90-19.75) 45% in, 12% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 22.10 (20.60-23.85) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 8%) 9W: 18.55 (16.45-21.75) 100% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 56%
(20%) 8W: 15.20 (12.95-19.15) 99% in, 58% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%
(30%) 7W: 12.30 (10.35-16.60) 69% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 12%
(25%) 6W: 10.45 ( 8.10-15.00) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
(13%) 5W: 8.95 ( 6.60-13.15) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 4%) 4W: 7.75 ( 5.90- 9.75) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWW: 22.10 (20.60-23.85) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 6%) WWLLWW: 15.45 (13.75-17.50) 99% in, 51% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 19%
(10%) LWLWWW: 14.80 (12.95-17.25) 99% in, 53% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Toronto (4-0) 12%
(21%) LWLLWW: 11.95 (10.35-15.05) 59% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%
( 6%) LLLLWW: 10.75 ( 8.90-12.80) 17% in, proj. out (#9-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 19%
( 7%) LWLLLW: 10.40 ( 8.80-12.90) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), West Jefferson (4-0) 17%
( 9%) LWLLWL: 10.05 ( 8.10-12.45) 11% in, proj. out (#9-out), Northmor (2-2) 14%
( 4%) LLLLLL: 7.75 ( 5.90- 9.75) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 90.6, #431, D6 #46), 55% (bubble if 7-3), 22% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 89.2, #430, D6 #44), 36% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 8-2), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 85.7, #462, D6 #51), 27% (bubble if 7-3), 13% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 87.3, #458, D6 #46), 28% (bubble if 6-4), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 85.1, #488, D6 #54), 31% (bubble if 6-4), 17% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 91.2