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Rankings
#48 of 108 in Division 6
#13 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #28 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #35 in D6 (+1 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 28-7 A #326 Highland (Marengo) (3-5) D4 R14, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 76
08/28 W 21-0 A #487 Northridge (3-5) D6 R23, pick: W by 13 (74%), perf. rating 115
09/04 W 30-27 H #421 Utica (2-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 9 (69%), perf. rating 93
09/11 L 52-7 A #111 Danville (8-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 30 (4%), perf. rating 76
09/18 W 34-0 H #623 Cardington-Lincoln (0-8) D6 R23, pick: W by 32 (98%), perf. rating 101
09/25 W 21-12 H #371 Mount Gilead (4-4) D6 R23, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 110
10/02 W 28-18 H #495 Northmor (1-7) D6 R23, pick: W by 17 (86%), perf. rating 94
10/09 W 35-34 A #451 Loudonville (3-5) D7 R27, pick: W by 9 (72%), perf. rating 91
10/16 H #380 East Knox (5-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/23 A #361 Centerburg (6-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 7 (32%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
64% (likely needs 7-3), 17% home (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.60 (12.15-16.00) 100% in, 31% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-#11), Waterford (6-2) 24%
Lose: 9.85 ( 9.70-13.50) 24% in, 2% home, proj. out (#8-out), Newark Catholic (6-2) 34%
Based on eventual number of wins
(21%) 8W: 15.05 (14.95-16.00) 100% in, 80% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#9), Elgin (6-2) 24%
(42%) 7W: 12.30 (12.15-13.50) 100% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#8-#11), Waterford (6-2) 29%
(37%) 6W: 9.80 ( 9.70-10.70) 3% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(21%) WW: 15.05 (14.95-16.00) 100% in, 80% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#9), Elgin (6-2) 24%
(11%) LW: 12.60 (12.50-13.50) 100% in, 9% home, proj. #9 (#8-#11), Newark Catholic (6-2) 37%
(32%) WL: 12.25 (12.15-13.15) 100% in, proj. #11 (#9-#11), Waterford (6-2) 35%
(37%) LL: 9.80 ( 9.70-10.70) 3% in, proj. out (#12-out), Newcomerstown (6-2) 35%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 96.8, #384, D6 #45), 65% (bubble if 6-4), 31% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 97.3, #383, D6 #44), 71% (bubble if 6-4), 38% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 93.0, #410, D6 #49), 42% (bubble if 6-4), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 4 (2-2, 92.9, #419, D6 #48), 39% (bubble if 6-4), 17% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 91.9, #419, D6 #47), 39% (bubble if 6-4), 17% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 90.3, #427, D6 #53), 31% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (likely needs 8-2), 2% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 86.2, #453, D6 #58), 20% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 96.2, #399, D6 #40), 45% (bubble if 6-4), 25% home (maybe if 8-2), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 97.0