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Rankings
#18 of 108 in Division 6
#8 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #34 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #26 in D6 (+45 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 44-26 A #386 Gibsonburg (3-4) D7 R26, pick: L by 8 (36%), perf. rating 125
08/28 W 28-12 H #401 Monroeville (3-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 31 (94%), perf. rating 116
09/04 W 41-7 A #535 Calvert (1-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 127
09/11 L 30-22 A #109 Hopewell-Loudon (8-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 24 (8%), perf. rating 127
09/18 W 29-14 H #550 Willard (3-5) D5 R18, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 91
09/25 W 41-0 A #584 Bucyrus (4-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 126
10/02 L 8-7 A #224 Carey (5-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 12 (22%), perf. rating 120
10/09 W 17-0 H #445 Lucas (4-4) D7 R27, pick: W by 28 (97%), perf. rating 111
10/16 H #318 Colonel Crawford (4-4) D6 R23, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/23 H #419 Upper Sandusky (4-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 25 (95%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
16.16 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#7 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 96% home (likely needs 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.16 (12.45-17.44) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Delta (5-3) 29%
Lose: 13.72 (10.01-14.99) 98% in, 86% home, proj. #8 (#6-out), Allen East (5-3) 29%
Based on eventual number of wins
(77%) 8W: 16.16 (14.63-17.44) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#9), Delta (5-3) 30%
(22%) 7W: 13.72 (12.19-14.99) 100% in, 91% home, proj. #8 (#6-#10), Allen East (5-3) 31%
( 2%) 6W: 11.23 (10.01-12.05) 79% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 37%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(77%) WW: 16.16 (14.63-17.44) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#9), Delta (5-3) 30%
(19%) LW: 13.77 (12.19-14.99) 100% in, 93% home, proj. #7 (#6-#10), Allen East (5-3) 31%
( 3%) WL: 13.62 (12.45-14.89) 100% in, 79% home, proj. #8 (#6-#10), Allen East (5-3) 30%
( 2%) LL: 11.23 (10.01-12.05) 79% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 37%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 116.5, #245, D6 #20), 98% (bubble if 6-4), 88% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 114.4, #258, D6 #22), 98% (bubble if 6-4), 70% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 111.5, #282, D6 #27), 96% (bubble if 6-4), 63% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 118.4, #232, D6 #17), 96% (bubble if 6-4), 61% home (likely needs 8-2), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 114.0, #263, D6 #22), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 58% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 115.5, #249, D6 #21), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 7-3), 21% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 121.2, #207, D6 #16), 90% (bubble if 5-5), 67% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 109.4, #286, D6 #24), 58% (bubble if 6-4), 35% home (maybe if 7-3), 14% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Last season 112.7