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Rankings
#30 of 107 in Division 6
#13 of 26 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #18 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #24 in D6 (+88 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 2-0 H #352 Crestview (Ashland) (2-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 10 (68%), perf. rating 104
08/29 L 27-21 A #339 Northmor (2-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 26 (10%), perf. rating 97
09/05 W 14-2 H #369 Monroeville (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 116
09/12 W 62-8 A #548 Wynford (1-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 137
09/19 H #262 Carey (1-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/26 A #447 Upper Sandusky (1-3) D4 R14, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/03 A #224 Colonel Crawford (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/10 H #579 Buckeye Central (3-1) D7 R25, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/17 H #649 Bucyrus (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/24 A #237 Mohawk (3-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 12 (21%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
14.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
93% (bubble if 5-5), 48% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.45 ( 8.50-22.00) 99% in, 81% home, 29% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 29%
Lose: 11.70 ( 6.40-19.75) 89% in, 28% home, 4% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-1) 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 9W: 20.95 (19.65-22.00) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(16%) 8W: 17.45 (15.80-20.25) 100% in, 99% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 40%
(30%) 7W: 14.20 (12.25-17.85) 100% in, 71% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-1) 13%
(37%) 6W: 11.50 (10.20-15.10) 94% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-1) 15%
(10%) 5W: 9.60 ( 8.20-12.05) 60% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Archbold (3-1) 15%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WWWWWW: 20.95 (19.65-22.00) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 6%) WWWWWL: 17.55 (16.55-18.85) 100% home, 39% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 39%
( 7%) WWLWWW: 17.00 (15.80-18.60) 100% in, 99% home, 26% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 26%
( 5%) LWWWWL: 15.30 (13.80-17.00) 100% in, 84% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-1) 13%
( 8%) LWLWWW: 14.60 (13.00-16.30) 100% in, 70% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#11), Woodmore (4-0) 12%
(15%) WWLWWL: 13.70 (12.25-15.70) 100% in, 65% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-1) 14%
(33%) LWLWWL: 11.45 (10.20-13.00) 93% in, 10% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (3-1) 14%
( 9%) LLLWWL: 9.40 ( 8.20-10.95) 58% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Archbold (3-1) 15%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 107.6, #314, D6 #30), 93% (bubble if 5-5), 48% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 106.1, #327, D6 #28), 92% (bubble if 4-6), 53% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 101.4, #354, D6 #32), 67% (bubble if 5-5), 39% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 95.8, #395, D6 #36), 45% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 98.2, #370, D6 #28), 57% (bubble if 5-5), 36% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 101.6