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Rankings
#81 of 108 in Division 6
#21 of 28 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #64 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #83 in D6 (-378 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 44-8 A #665 Beachwood (3-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 23 (85%), perf. rating 91
08/28 L 28-8 A #433 Wickliffe (6-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 32 (5%), perf. rating 61
09/04 W 40-8 A #671 Brooklyn (1-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 27 (93%), perf. rating 83
09/11 W 26-14 A #577 Shaw (2-5) D5 R17, pick: L by 19 (13%), perf. rating 85
09/18 L 33-0 A #276 Brush (4-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 65
09/25 L 55-12 H #328 Cleveland Central Cath. (4-3) D4 R13, pick: L by 25 (6%), perf. rating 41
10/02 L 28-22 A #551 St John School (5-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 64
10/09 H #464 John Adams (4-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/16 A #493 Warrensville Heights (2-5) D4 R13, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/23 H #403 Lutheran East (3-4) D4 R13, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.98 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.51 ( 6.50-12.40) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 4.48 ( 3.98- 9.88) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 5W: 8.71 ( 7.65-11.09) 7% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(22%) 4W: 6.50 ( 5.59- 8.67) out, proj. out
(73%) 3W: 3.98 ( 3.98- 6.25) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWL: 8.71 ( 8.11-10.28) 7% in, proj. out (#12-out), Hillsdale (6-1) 41%
( 1%) LWW: 8.16 ( 7.65- 9.88) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out), Hillsdale (6-1) 50%
( 9%) WLL: 7.10 ( 6.50- 8.67) out
( 4%) LLW: 6.55 ( 6.04- 8.16) out
( 9%) LWL: 5.99 ( 5.59- 7.51) out
(73%) LLL: 3.98 ( 3.98- 6.25) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 66.1, #574, D6 #81), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (3-3, 68.6, #560, D6 #75), 7% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (3-2, 73.6, #537, D6 #72), 20% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (3-1, 72.8, #536, D6 #75), 16% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (2-1, 61.4, #593, D6 #84), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 57.7, #609, D6 #90), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 51.9, #633, D6 #96), 5% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 44.6, #654, D6 #99), 7% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 51.9