Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#663 Richmond Heights Spartans (0-4) 40.5

Updated Sat 13-Sep-2025 10:57 PM
Week 4 complete

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Rankings
#97 of 107 in Division 6
#23 of 27 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #95 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #102 in D6 (-923 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/22 L 12-6 A #439 Rhodes (3-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 41 (3%), perf. rating 81
08/29 L 48-16 A #529 Loudonville (2-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 30
09/05 L 32-6 A #553 John Adams (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 8 (33%), perf. rating 35
09/12 L 25-12 A #659 Toledo Christian (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 11 (74%), perf. rating 24
09/20 A #666 Crestline (2-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/26 A #707 Vanlue (0-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/04 A #492 John F Kennedy (Warren) (0-4) D7 R25, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/10 A #701 St Thomas Aquinas (0-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/17 A #689 Windham (0-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/24 A #354 Mogadore (3-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 43 (1%)

Regular season projections
3-7 record
1.45 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R21 playoffs

Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention

Depending on the next game
Win: 2.97 ( 1.06- 8.51) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.10 ( 0.00- 7.05) out, proj. out

Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 5W: 4.38 ( 3.26- 8.26) out, proj. out
(38%) 4W: 3.27 ( 1.85- 7.11) out, proj. out
(40%) 3W: 1.45 ( 1.10- 6.30) out, proj. out
(16%) 2W: 0.75 ( 0.70- 4.49) out, proj. out
( 4%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 1.81) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWWWWL: 4.02 ( 3.26- 6.95) out
(36%) WWLWWL: 3.27 ( 2.51- 5.54) out
( 6%) WWLWLL: 2.56 ( 2.16- 3.78) out
( 2%) WWLLWL: 2.51 ( 1.76- 3.73) out
(32%) LWLWWL: 1.45 ( 1.10- 3.37) out
( 4%) LWLLWL: 1.05 ( 0.70- 2.27) out
(11%) LWLWLL: 0.75 ( 0.75- 1.96) out
( 3%) LWLLLL: 0.35 ( 0.35- 1.56) out

Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 40.5, #663, D6 #97), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 46.9, #648, D6 #92), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (0-2, 53.9, #624, D6 #88), 3% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 50.8, #637, D6 #91), 6% (bubble if 8-2), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 35.3, #679, D6 #101), 5% (bubble if 6-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-6
Last season 24.7