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Rankings
#50 of 79 in Division 1
#13 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #77 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #32 in D1 (+43 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 42-7 A #415 Central Crossing (0-7) D1 R2, pick: W by 18 (80%), perf. rating 147
08/28 W 28-26 H #200 Hamilton Township (5-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 124
09/04 W 13-7 A #179 Westerville South (3-4) D1 R3, pick: L by 13 (23%), perf. rating 137
09/11 W 44-2 H #398 Bishop Ready (3-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 156
09/18 W 36-10 H #402 Franklin Heights (0-7) D2 R8, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 131
09/25 W 38-0 H #365 Bishop Hartley (2-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 28 (96%), perf. rating 154
10/02 W 14-12 A #340 Dublin Scioto (1-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 109
10/09 A #38 DeSales (Columbus) (5-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/16 H #247 University School (5-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/23 A #1 Bishop Watterson (6-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 44 (1%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
19.19 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#8 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 65% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.56 (17.76-30.39) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), Groveport Madison (5-2) 28%
Lose: 19.09 (12.77-26.57) 99% in, 64% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Reynoldsburg (4-3) 22%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 9W: 23.72 (20.86-26.57) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Groveport Madison (5-2) 28%
(81%) 8W: 19.19 (16.28-22.51) 100% in, 74% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Reynoldsburg (4-3) 22%
(15%) 7W: 15.32 (12.77-17.92) 99% in, 8% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Pickerington Central (4-3) 22%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WWL: 23.62 (20.86-26.27) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Groveport Madison (5-2) 29%
(80%) LWL: 19.19 (16.28-22.51) 100% in, 74% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Reynoldsburg (4-3) 22%
(15%) LLL: 15.32 (12.77-17.92) 99% in, 8% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Pickerington Central (4-3) 22%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 129.8, #150, D1 #50), likely in, 65% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 6 (6-0, 136.1, #120, D1 #42), likely in, 75% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 5 (5-0, 134.1, #124, D1 #42), likely in, 81% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 4 (4-0, 133.8, #124, D1 #41), likely in, 62% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 120.9, #213, D1 #58), 90% (bubble if 5-5), 42% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 112.1, #280, D1 #69), 44% (bubble if 6-4), 11% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 114.3, #255, D1 #65), 36% (bubble if 6-4), 9% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 105.1, #315, D1 #73), 34% (bubble if 4-6), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 106.9