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Rankings
#73 of 80 in Division 1
#19 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #73 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #53 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #469 Central Crossing (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 18 (80%)
08/28 H #233 Hamilton Township (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 9 (33%)
09/04 A #132 Westerville South (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 27 (7%)
09/11 H #262 Bishop Ready (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 6 (36%)
09/18 H #338 Franklin Heights (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 4 (60%)
09/25 H #111 Bishop Hartley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/02 A #227 Dublin Scioto (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/09 A #87 DeSales (Columbus) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/16 H #353 University School (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/23 A #2 Bishop Watterson (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
6.65 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
34% (bubble if 4-6), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.77 ( 0.65-35.54) 40% in, 14% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Lose: 2.85 ( 0.00-28.32) 11% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Olentangy (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 25.45 (18.41-34.28) 100% in, 99% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 55%
( 3%) 8W: 22.10 (13.83-34.14) 99% in, 91% home, 22% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 22%
( 6%) 7W: 18.64 ( 9.76-28.18) 99% in, 62% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 8%
( 9%) 6W: 15.49 ( 8.14-25.08) 90% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 12.34 ( 5.70-20.76) 69% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 9.44 ( 3.57-18.72) 34% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
(16%) 3W: 6.65 ( 2.31-13.49) 8% in, proj. out (#9-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 13%
(17%) 2W: 3.95 ( 1.15- 9.26) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(14%) 1W: 1.31 ( 0.50- 5.80) out, proj. out
( 6%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 7%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 7%
Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) 7%
Westerville South (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 16%
Pickerington North (0-0) 13%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 12%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 11%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 105.1, #315, D1 #73), 34% (bubble if 4-6), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 106.9