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Rankings
#58 of 80 in Division 1
#18 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #72 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #25 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #305 Thomas Worthington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 8 (64%)
08/28 H #592 Briggs (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 39 (97%)
09/04 H #124 New Albany (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 17 (17%)
09/11 H #132 Westerville South (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 16 (17%)
09/18 A #150 Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 16 (16%)
09/25 A #140 Westland (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 17 (14%)
10/02 H #315 St Charles (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/09 A #249 Delaware Hayes (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/16 H #18 Big Walnut (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/23 A #165 Westerville North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 13 (20%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
46% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.85 ( 0.65-37.25) 59% in, 32% home, 11% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 19%
Lose: 4.80 ( 0.00-32.05) 22% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 30.10 (23.60-37.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 3%) 9W: 25.40 (17.85-33.40) 100% in, 99% home, 82% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 82%
( 6%) 8W: 21.10 (12.70-30.45) 99% in, 96% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 40%
( 9%) 7W: 17.20 ( 9.50-28.45) 99% in, 75% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 12%
(11%) 6W: 13.75 ( 6.35-23.45) 92% in, 37% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
(14%) 5W: 10.60 ( 3.75-20.90) 67% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
(16%) 4W: 7.80 ( 2.55-16.90) 31% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
(16%) 3W: 5.50 ( 1.85-13.55) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Whitmer (0-0) 9%
(14%) 2W: 3.60 ( 1.25-11.15) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 9%) 1W: 1.75 ( 0.60- 6.25) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 8%
Perrysburg (0-0) 6%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 6%
Westland (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 12%
Springfield (0-0) 11%
Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 8%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 116.3, #227, D1 #58), 46% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 122.1