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Rankings
#73 of 80 in Division 1
#19 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #60 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #69 in D1 (-504 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 30-28 A #278 Thomas Worthington (2-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 8 (64%), perf. rating 111
08/28 W 42-36 H #519 Briggs (1-2) D2 R8, pick: W by 37 (97%), perf. rating 84
09/04 L 56-7 H #97 New Albany (2-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 30 (5%), perf. rating 74
09/11 H #226 Westerville South (1-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 17 (16%)
09/18 A #41 Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 41 (1%)
09/25 A #138 Westland (2-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 28 (4%)
10/02 H #213 St Charles (3-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/09 A #188 Delaware Hayes (2-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/16 H #16 Big Walnut (3-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 47 (1%)
10/23 A #121 Westerville North (2-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
2.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
10% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.05 ( 2.50-31.45) 28% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 15%
Lose: 2.90 ( 1.20-22.75) 6% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 5W: 14.75 (11.85-19.60) 100% in, 51% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Grove City (2-1) 17%
( 3%) 4W: 11.22 ( 8.05-17.65) 88% in, 10% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Hilliard Darby (2-1) 16%
( 9%) 3W: 8.35 ( 4.95-14.80) 41% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 18%
(25%) 2W: 5.35 ( 2.50-11.30) 7% in, proj. out (#9-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 23%
(61%) 1W: 2.35 ( 1.20- 5.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLLWWLL: 10.75 ( 8.05-14.45) 84% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Hilliard Darby (2-1) 19%
( 2%) LLLWWLL: 8.85 ( 6.10-12.30) 45% in, proj. out (#9-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 23%
( 2%) WLLWLLL: 8.25 ( 5.55-12.50) 36% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Johns Jesuit (3-0) 21%
( 8%) LLLWLLL: 6.50 ( 3.75- 9.35) 13% in, proj. out (#10-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 26%
( 2%) LLWLLLL: 5.60 ( 3.65- 8.80) 10% in, proj. out (#10-out), Whitmer (2-1) 22%
( 4%) LLLLWLL: 4.70 ( 3.00- 7.90) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 18%
( 8%) WLLLLLL: 4.15 ( 2.50- 8.20) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 30%
(61%) LLLLLLL: 2.35 ( 1.20- 5.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Grove City (2-1) 33%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (1-2, 100.9, #361, D1 #73), 10% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (1-1, 100.8, #358, D1 #74), 11% (bubble if 3-7), 2% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 112.5, #272, D1 #68), 23% (bubble if 4-6), 9% home (maybe if 5-5), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 116.3, #227, D1 #58), 46% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 122.1