Region 7 home page
Region 7 projections
Region 7 playoff probabilities
Region 7 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 7 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#53 of 100 in Division 2
#14 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #80 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #54 in D2 (-226 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 14-13 A #295 Whitehall-Yearling (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 21 (83%), perf. rating 113
08/28 L 28-26 A #213 St Charles (3-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 7 (36%), perf. rating 120
09/04 W 41-0 H #497 Independence (Cbus) (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 24 (91%), perf. rating 139
09/11 H #129 Chillicothe (3-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 12 (24%)
09/18 H #398 Amanda-Clearcreek (0-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 24 (93%)
09/25 A #378 Circleville (2-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/02 H #581 Liberty Union (0-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/09 A #289 Bloom-Carroll (1-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/16 H #480 Logan Elm (1-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/23 A #283 Fairfield Union (2-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 6 (65%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
16.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
80% (bubble if 6-4), 45% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.20 (10.10-29.65) 99% in, 87% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#2-out), bye 14%
Lose: 16.25 ( 4.15-24.25) 74% in, 32% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
(14%) 9W: 24.65 (20.45-29.65) 100% in, 99% home, 24% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#11), bye 24%
(31%) 8W: 20.20 (15.60-25.75) 99% in, 80% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 14%
(27%) 7W: 16.50 (11.55-24.70) 93% in, 23% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 13%
(17%) 6W: 13.35 ( 8.10-20.65) 50% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Ashland (3-0) 13%
( 8%) 5W: 10.65 ( 5.75-17.75) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Ashland (3-0) 11%
( 2%) 4W: 8.40 ( 4.60-12.60) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(14%) WWWWWWW: 24.65 (20.45-29.65) 100% in, 99% home, 24% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#11), bye 24%
( 3%) WWWWWWL: 20.45 (16.45-25.65) 100% in, 80% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 16%
(24%) LWWWWWW: 20.05 (15.60-24.25) 99% in, 78% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 14%
( 9%) LWWWLWW: 16.75 (12.75-21.60) 96% in, 24% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 14%
(11%) LWWWWWL: 15.90 (11.55-19.55) 90% in, 15% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Walnut Ridge (0-3) 13%
( 8%) LWWWLWL: 13.00 ( 9.15-18.10) 43% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Ashland (3-0) 13%
( 4%) LWLWLWL: 10.10 ( 5.75-14.25) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out), Canal Winchester (1-2) 17%
( 1%) LLLWLWL: 8.25 ( 5.00-10.85) out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 119.3, #227, D2 #53), 80% (bubble if 6-4), 45% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 110.5, #287, D2 #60), 55% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 109.4, #290, D2 #58), 55% (bubble if 6-4), 23% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 115.8, #233, D2 #56), 60% (bubble if 6-4), 32% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #11 at 7-3
Last season 122.6