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Rankings
#13 of 100 in Division 2
#4 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #30 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #18 in D2 (+202 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 31-7 H #29 Ursuline (4-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 30 (8%), perf. rating 195
08/28 W 41-6 H #387 Walnut Ridge (0-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 38 (97%), perf. rating 147
09/04 W 35-14 A #233 East (Columbus) (5-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 34 (97%), perf. rating 152
09/11 L 20-17 A #50 Villa Angela-St Joseph (4-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 5 (62%), perf. rating 151
09/18 W 27-14 H River Rouge MI (0-5) D2
09/25 L 32-0 A #2 Bishop Watterson (6-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 30 (3%), perf. rating 151
10/02 H #285 Bloom-Carroll (4-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/09 H #120 St Charles (6-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/16 A #46 Steubenville (5-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/23 H #360 Bishop Hartley (2-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 41 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
23.59 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#4 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 62% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.60 (15.46-30.99) 100% in, 98% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#11), bye 63%
Based on eventual number of wins
(50%) 8W: 27.44 (23.98-30.99) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 87%
(45%) 7W: 23.59 (19.67-28.69) 100% in, 99% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), bye 42%
( 5%) 6W: 18.25 (15.46-23.29) 100% in, 58% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Whitehall-Yearling (4-2) 16%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(50%) WWWW: 27.44 (23.98-30.99) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 87%
(41%) WWLW: 23.64 (20.24-26.68) 100% in, 99% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), bye 43%
( 2%) WLWW: 21.99 (19.67-24.16) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Hoover (4-2) 18%
( 4%) WLLW: 18.09 (15.46-21.13) 100% in, 50% home, proj. #9 (#5-#11), Whitehall-Yearling (4-2) 17%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (4-2, 158.5, #37, D2 #13), appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 62% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 5 (4-1, 161.4, #32, D2 #13), appears locked in and likely home, 74% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 159.6, #36, D2 #12), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 5-5), 39% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 163.3, #31, D2 #11), likely in and likely home, 80% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 168.1, #21, D2 #10), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 5-5), 70% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 166.1, #26, D2 #11), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 5-5), 73% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 142.0, #87, D2 #27), 70% (bubble if 4-6), 44% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Last season 142.2