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Rankings
#14 of 100 in Division 2
#4 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #27 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #19 in D2 (+200 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 31-7 H #42 Ursuline (5-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 30 (8%), perf. rating 189
08/28 W 41-6 H #373 Walnut Ridge (2-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 38 (97%), perf. rating 149
09/04 W 35-14 A #213 East (Columbus) (7-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 34 (97%), perf. rating 154
09/11 L 20-17 A #59 Villa Angela-St Joseph (6-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 5 (62%), perf. rating 147
09/18 W 27-14 H River Rouge MI (0-7) D2
09/25 L 32-0 A #1 Bishop Watterson (7-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 30 (3%), perf. rating 146
10/02 W 30-0 H #258 Bloom-Carroll (4-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 158
10/09 W 28-20 H #136 St Charles (7-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 27 (96%), perf. rating 141
10/16 A #49 Steubenville (6-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/23 H #348 Bishop Hartley (2-6) D3 R11, pick: W by 38 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
23.74 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#4 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, 80% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.44 (24.20-29.75) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 96%
Lose: 23.74 (20.61-25.60) 100% home, 67% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#8), bye 67%
Based on eventual number of wins
(46%) 8W: 27.44 (24.70-29.75) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 96%
(53%) 7W: 23.74 (21.01-26.94) 100% home, 68% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#8), bye 68%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(46%) WW: 27.44 (24.70-29.75) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 96%
(53%) LW: 23.74 (21.01-25.60) 100% home, 68% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#8), bye 68%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 157.8, #38, D2 #13), appears locked in and likely home, 84% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 6 (4-2, 158.5, #37, D2 #13), appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 62% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 5 (4-1, 161.4, #32, D2 #13), appears locked in and likely home, 74% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 159.6, #36, D2 #12), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 5-5), 39% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 163.3, #31, D2 #11), likely in and likely home, 80% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 168.1, #21, D2 #10), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 5-5), 70% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 166.1, #26, D2 #11), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 5-5), 73% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 142.0, #87, D2 #27), 70% (bubble if 4-6), 44% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Last season 142.2