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Rankings
#78 of 104 in Division 2
#21 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #84 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #38 in D2 (-28 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/25 W 26-6 H #643 West (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 30 (92%), perf. rating 78
08/29 W 23-0 A #504 Central Crossing (0-4) D1 R3, pick: W by 3 (56%), perf. rating 115
09/05 L 56-14 A #45 London (4-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 93
09/12 W 14-8 H #427 KIPP Columbus (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 10 (72%), perf. rating 98
09/19 H #235 St Charles (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 18 (13%)
09/26 H #173 Buckeye Valley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 25 (6%)
10/03 A #273 Columbus Academy (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/10 H #328 Whitehall-Yearling (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/17 A #467 Bexley (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/24 A #236 Bishop Ready (1-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 21 (8%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
4.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.95 ( 3.45-22.55) 18% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), DeSales (Columbus) (3-1) 12%
Lose: 5.25 ( 1.70-19.80) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Ashland (4-0) 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 8W: 17.15 (13.95-20.05) 94% in, 24% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Northland (2-2) 13%
( 6%) 7W: 13.60 (11.05-17.20) 33% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Louisville (4-0) 12%
(13%) 6W: 10.35 ( 7.75-14.95) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(27%) 5W: 7.40 ( 5.40-12.00) out, proj. out
(36%) 4W: 4.70 ( 3.25- 8.55) out, proj. out
(16%) 3W: 2.50 ( 1.70- 5.30) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLWWWW: 13.50 (12.40-15.30) 29% in, proj. out (#10-out), Ashland (4-0) 14%
( 4%) LLWWWL: 10.55 ( 9.00-12.80) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), DeSales (Columbus) (3-1) 100%
( 4%) LLWLWL: 7.40 ( 5.90-10.15) out
(14%) LLLWWL: 7.35 ( 5.40-10.65) out
( 4%) LLLLWW: 7.10 ( 5.45-10.10) out
( 4%) LLLWLL: 5.00 ( 3.25- 7.75) out
(30%) LLLLWL: 4.70 ( 3.30- 7.10) out
(16%) LLLLLL: 2.50 ( 1.70- 5.30) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 97.5, #390, D2 #78), 4% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (2-1, 96.9, #389, D2 #77), 8% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (2-0, 95.0, #403, D2 #81), 11% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 89.6, #442, D2 #84), 18% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 91.1, #441, D2 #87), 23% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 90.1