Region 8 home page
Region 8 projections
Region 8 playoff probabilities
Region 8 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 8 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#77 of 100 in Division 2
#20 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #71 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #91 in D2 (-763 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 14-9 A #454 West (3-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 31 (92%), perf. rating 81
08/28 L 20-2 A #285 Linden McKinley (3-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 18 (18%), perf. rating 87
09/04 L 37-7 H #87 London (2-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 38 (2%), perf. rating 95
09/11 A #486 KIPP Columbus (0-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 7 (66%)
09/18 A #213 St Charles (3-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/25 A #238 Buckeye Valley (2-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/02 H #297 Columbus Academy (1-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/09 A #295 Whitehall-Yearling (1-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/16 H #506 Bexley (1-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/23 H #234 Bishop Ready (2-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
3.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.70 ( 0.55-22.45) 3% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Talawanda (3-0) 17%
Lose: 2.15 ( 0.00-19.15) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 6W: 16.15 (13.00-19.80) 89% in, 6% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Talawanda (3-0) 16%
( 4%) 5W: 12.15 ( 9.10-15.95) 25% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Talawanda (3-0) 19%
( 9%) 4W: 8.60 ( 6.45-14.00) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(18%) 3W: 5.80 ( 3.30-10.70) out, proj. out
(33%) 2W: 3.15 ( 1.60- 8.05) out, proj. out
(25%) 1W: 1.95 ( 0.55- 4.95) out, proj. out
(10%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLWWWWL: 12.10 ( 9.80-13.70) 21% in, proj. out (#11-out), Talawanda (3-0) 36%
( 4%) WLLLLWW: 6.00 ( 3.90- 8.65) out
( 4%) WLLLWWL: 5.80 ( 3.85- 7.95) out
( 6%) WLLWLWL: 4.85 ( 3.30- 7.80) out
(25%) WLLLLWL: 2.95 ( 1.70- 5.35) out
(15%) LLLLLWL: 2.15 ( 1.15- 3.70) out
( 8%) WLLLLLL: 1.00 ( 0.55- 2.55) out
(10%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 91.0, #424, D2 #77), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 86.8, #452, D2 #80), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 87.8, #440, D2 #80), 7% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 103.0, #338, D2 #68), 34% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 107.9