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Rankings
#63 of 102 in Division 4
#19 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #47 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #68 in D4 (-349 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 41-0 H #615 Eastmoor Academy (0-8) D3 R11, pick: W by 28 (90%), perf. rating 114
08/28 W 34-21 A #430 Licking Heights (1-7) D1 R3, pick: W by 12 (73%), perf. rating 111
09/04 L 28-24 A #274 Galion (4-4) D5 R18, pick: L by 7 (35%), perf. rating 109
09/11 L 44-2 A #136 St Charles (7-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 4 (41%), perf. rating 71
09/18 W 29-13 H #390 Roger Bacon (2-6) D4 R16, pick: W by 6 (65%), perf. rating 118
09/25 L 28-3 H #226 Whitehall-Yearling (6-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 6 (35%), perf. rating 80
10/02 L 34-7 H #307 Buckeye Valley (5-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 2 (45%), perf. rating 67
10/09 L 21-14 A #413 Bexley (4-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 5 (63%), perf. rating 84
10/16 H #171 Columbus Academy (6-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/23 A #415 Franklin Heights (0-8) D2 R8, pick: L by 1 (47%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.70 ( 7.10-10.45) out, proj. out
Lose: 4.45 ( 3.40- 6.70) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 5W: 8.75 ( 7.70-10.45) out, proj. out
(47%) 4W: 5.00 ( 4.00- 9.35) out, proj. out
(50%) 3W: 3.85 ( 3.40- 5.60) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WW: 8.75 ( 7.70-10.45) out
( 1%) WL: 8.10 ( 7.10- 9.35) out
(46%) LW: 5.00 ( 4.00- 6.70) out
(50%) LL: 3.85 ( 3.40- 5.60) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 95.1, #398, D4 #58), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (3-3, 101.6, #354, D4 #50), 6% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (3-2, 107.7, #307, D4 #43), 26% (likely needs 7-3), 9% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 4 (2-2, 105.6, #321, D4 #46), 21% (likely needs 7-3), 7% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 118.4, #234, D4 #28), 72% (bubble if 6-4), 54% home (maybe if 7-3), 27% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 122.0, #206, D4 #26), 82% (bubble if 6-4), 62% home (maybe if 7-3), 33% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 119.2, #221, D4 #29), 78% (bubble if 5-5), 61% home (maybe if 7-3), 34% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 112.8, #262, D4 #33), 67% (bubble if 5-5), 47% home (maybe if 6-4), 24% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Last season 110.4