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Rankings
#69 of 102 in Division 3
#15 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #6 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #66 in D3 (-184 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 51-27 H #190 Dublin Coffman (1-5) D1 R2, pick: W by 8 (64%), perf. rating 87
08/28 W 28-27 A #322 Marion-Franklin (3-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 27 (91%), perf. rating 109
09/04 L 28-0 A #283 Chaminade Julienne (1-5) D3 R12, pick: W by 17 (83%), perf. rating 72
09/11 L 46-13 H #69 Badin (5-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 95
09/18 W 28-21 H #323 Buckeye Valley (4-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 14 (19%), perf. rating 114
09/25 L 38-0 A #120 St Charles (6-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 28 (4%), perf. rating 82
10/02 A #50 Villa Angela-St Joseph (4-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/09 H #2 Bishop Watterson (6-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/23 A #37 DeSales (Columbus) (4-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 41 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-7 record
8.64 Harbin points (divisor 89)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 3-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Lose: 8.64 ( 6.00-16.22) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Dover (4-2) 26%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 3W: 13.80 (11.27-16.22) 77% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Dover (4-2) 20%
(97%) 2W: 8.64 ( 6.00-10.38) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWL: 14.36 (12.45-16.22) 87% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Athens (5-1) 20%
(97%) LLL: 8.64 ( 6.00-10.38) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Dover (4-2) 79%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (2-4, 101.1, #360, D3 #69), 2% (bubble if 3-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 5 (2-3, 103.6, #341, D3 #67), 4% (bubble if 3-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 4 (1-3, 99.2, #371, D3 #70), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 3 (1-2, 95.1, #399, D3 #73), 2% (bubble if 3-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-8
Week 2 (1-1, 113.9, #261, D3 #45), 23% (bubble if 4-5), 5% home (maybe if 5-4), proj. out at 3-6
Week 1 (0-1, 122.1, #202, D3 #37), 31% (bubble if 4-5), 9% home (maybe if 5-4), 2% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. out at 3-6
Week 0 (0-0, 136.8, #111, D3 #17), 66% (bubble if 4-5), 43% home (maybe if 6-3), 19% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #11 at 5-4
Last season 136.2