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Rankings
#65 of 102 in Division 3
#16 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #5 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #62 in D3 (-188 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 51-27 H #176 Dublin Coffman (2-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 8 (64%), perf. rating 88
08/28 W 28-27 A #321 Marion-Franklin (4-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 27 (91%), perf. rating 110
09/04 L 28-0 A #268 Chaminade Julienne (2-6) D3 R12, pick: W by 17 (83%), perf. rating 74
09/11 L 46-13 H #129 Badin (6-2) D2 R8, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 82
09/18 W 28-21 H #307 Buckeye Valley (5-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 14 (19%), perf. rating 118
09/25 L 38-0 A #136 St Charles (7-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 28 (4%), perf. rating 77
10/02 L 57-20 A #59 Villa Angela-St Joseph (6-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 96
10/09 L 63-7 H #1 Bishop Watterson (7-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 127
10/23 A #45 DeSales (Columbus) (6-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-7 record
8.53 Harbin points (divisor 89)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.74 (11.89-14.42) 49% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 8.53 ( 6.62- 9.20) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 3W: 13.74 (11.89-14.42) 49% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(99%) 2W: 8.53 ( 6.62- 9.20) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) W: 13.74 (11.89-14.42) 49% in, proj. out (#10-out), Dover (6-2) 37%
(99%) L: 8.53 ( 6.62- 9.20) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 99.8, #365, D3 #68), 2% (bubble if 3-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 6 (2-4, 101.1, #360, D3 #69), 2% (bubble if 3-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 5 (2-3, 103.6, #341, D3 #67), 4% (bubble if 3-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 4 (1-3, 99.2, #371, D3 #70), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 3 (1-2, 95.1, #399, D3 #73), 2% (bubble if 3-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-8
Week 2 (1-1, 113.9, #261, D3 #45), 23% (bubble if 4-5), 5% home (maybe if 5-4), proj. out at 3-6
Week 1 (0-1, 122.1, #202, D3 #37), 31% (bubble if 4-5), 9% home (maybe if 5-4), 2% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. out at 3-6
Week 0 (0-0, 136.8, #111, D3 #17), 66% (bubble if 4-5), 43% home (maybe if 6-3), 19% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #11 at 5-4
Last season 136.2