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Rankings
#101 of 101 in Division 4
#24 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #83 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #101 in D4 (-987 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 8-3 A #680 Waterloo (1-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 4 (57%), perf. rating 20
08/28 L 40-7 H #555 Minerva (2-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 23 (12%), perf. rating 20
09/04 L 20-2 A #609 Coventry (1-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 26 (7%), perf. rating 32
09/11 A #393 Ravenna (2-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 45 (1%)
09/18 H #276 Cloverleaf (2-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 49 (1%)
09/25 A #536 Cuyahoga Falls (2-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/02 H #314 Kent Roosevelt (2-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/09 H #161 Woodridge (3-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/16 A #144 Norton (3-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/23 H #482 Field (1-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 37 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.15 ( 1.55- 7.95) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-10.00) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 1W: 2.60 ( 1.10- 5.30) out, proj. out
(92%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLLWL: 4.75 ( 2.05- 5.30) out
( 1%) LLLLWLL: 4.20 ( 2.60- 5.20) out
( 1%) LLLWLLL: 3.30 ( 1.75- 4.85) out
( 1%) LWLLLLL: 3.10 ( 1.55- 4.65) out
( 1%) WLLLLLL: 2.15 ( 1.55- 4.30) out
( 1%) LLLLLLW: 1.65 ( 1.10- 2.80) out
( 1%) LLWLLLL: 1.65 ( 1.65- 3.65) out
(92%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 29.2, #674, D4 #101), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 29.2, #672, D4 #101), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 37.9, #664, D4 #100), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 41.7, #658, D4 #99), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 40.5