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Rankings
#13 of 102 in Division 4
#3 of 25 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #60 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #19 in D4 (+131 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 49-7 H #487 Garfield (1-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 30 (92%), perf. rating 143
08/28 W 41-7 H #547 Sandy Valley (1-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 48 (99%), perf. rating 121
09/04 W 35-10 A #411 Marlington (2-5) D4 R13, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 133
09/11 L 42-35 A #159 Streetsboro (5-2) D4 R13, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 120
09/18 W 38-7 H #278 Tallmadge (4-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 12 (77%), perf. rating 156
09/25 W 28-21 A #171 Woodridge (6-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 1 (53%), perf. rating 139
10/02 W 56-7 H #510 Cuyahoga Falls (3-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 139
10/09 A #321 Kent Roosevelt (4-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/16 H #669 Springfield (Akron) (0-7) D4 R13, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #227 Cloverleaf (6-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 14 (82%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
24.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 77% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 24.20 (17.45-27.10) 100% in, 99% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 81%
Lose: 20.25 (14.05-23.40) 100% in, 75% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#11), Poland Seminary (4-3) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
(77%) 9W: 24.45 (21.60-27.10) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 96%
(21%) 8W: 20.05 (17.70-25.60) 100% in, 97% home, 15% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#10), Poland Seminary (4-3) 21%
( 2%) 7W: 16.23 (14.05-21.05) 100% in, 37% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-#11), Orrville (6-1) 32%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(77%) WWW: 24.45 (21.60-27.10) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 96%
( 4%) LWW: 20.75 (18.25-23.40) 100% in, 99% home, 22% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), Poland Seminary (4-3) 22%
(16%) WWL: 19.90 (17.70-22.35) 100% in, 96% home, 9% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Poland Seminary (4-3) 22%
( 2%) LWL: 16.20 (14.05-18.65) 100% in, 30% home, proj. #9 (#6-#11), Orrville (6-1) 33%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 134.5, #126, D4 #13), appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 77% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 132.7, #135, D4 #13), appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 69% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 133.6, #129, D4 #14), likely in, 89% home (maybe if 7-3), 24% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 126.8, #170, D4 #21), 95% (likely needs 6-4), 67% home (maybe if 7-3), 18% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 130.8, #144, D4 #14), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 84% home (maybe if 7-3), 50% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 129.2, #155, D4 #15), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 83% home (maybe if 7-3), 50% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 134.3, #125, D4 #10), 96% (bubble if 5-5), 85% home (maybe if 7-3), 56% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 128.5, #159, D4 #14), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 7-3), 39% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Last season 133.9