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Region 13 playoff probabilities
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Rankings
#14 of 101 in Division 4
#5 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #82 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #407 Kenmore-Garfield (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 30 (92%)
08/28 H #578 Sandy Valley (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 43 (98%)
09/04 A #495 Marlington (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 35 (97%)
09/11 A #130 Streetsboro (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 8 (32%)
09/18 H #292 Tallmadge (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 22 (92%)
09/25 A #381 Woodridge (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/02 H #579 Cuyahoga Falls (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 43 (99%)
10/09 A #314 Kent Roosevelt (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/16 H #658 Springfield (Akron) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #346 Cloverleaf (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 23 (93%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
20.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
94% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 7-3), 38% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.25 ( 1.20-32.25) 96% in, 81% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 42%
Lose: 12.90 ( 0.00-27.00) 74% in, 43% home, 10% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
(22%) 10W: 24.45 (16.85-32.25) 100% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 91%
(30%) 9W: 20.45 (12.75-28.85) 99% in, 98% home, 48% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 48%
(21%) 8W: 17.10 ( 9.05-25.95) 99% in, 84% home, 15% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 15%
(13%) 7W: 14.10 ( 7.50-21.30) 97% in, 51% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Hubbard (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 6W: 11.30 ( 5.30-19.30) 81% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#2-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 10%
( 4%) 5W: 8.80 ( 3.65-15.00) 45% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Hubbard (0-0) 11%
( 2%) 4W: 6.55 ( 3.15-11.25) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
( 1%) 3W: 4.62 ( 1.95- 8.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Hubbard (0-0) 5%
Lutheran East (0-0) 5%
West Geauga (0-0) 5%
Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Poland Seminary (0-0) 12%
Streetsboro (0-0) 12%
West Branch (0-0) 12%
Rocky River (0-0) 11%
East (Akron) (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 120.1, #202, D4 #20), 77% (bubble if 5-5), 53% home (maybe if 6-4), 23% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Last season 133.9