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Rankings
#14 of 101 in Division 4
#5 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #59 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #24 in D4 (+80 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 49-7 H #443 Garfield (0-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 30 (92%), perf. rating 149
08/28 W 41-7 H #586 Sandy Valley (0-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 48 (99%), perf. rating 111
09/04 W 35-10 A #377 Marlington (1-2) D4 R13, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 137
09/11 A #182 Streetsboro (2-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 4 (59%)
09/18 H #250 Tallmadge (2-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 17 (86%)
09/25 A #161 Woodridge (3-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/02 H #536 Cuyahoga Falls (2-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/09 A #314 Kent Roosevelt (2-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/16 H #674 Springfield (Akron) (0-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #276 Cloverleaf (2-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 16 (85%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
23.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
98% (bubble if 5-5), 84% home (maybe if 7-3), 50% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.95 ( 7.50-32.25) 99% in, 97% home, 72% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 72%
Lose: 18.20 ( 4.10-28.55) 94% in, 65% home, 18% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
(30%) 10W: 28.15 (23.75-32.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(28%) 9W: 23.60 (18.50-29.85) 100% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 66%
(20%) 8W: 19.35 (14.60-26.05) 100% in, 95% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), Poland Seminary (1-2) 15%
(13%) 7W: 15.45 (11.15-21.75) 99% in, 50% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Poland Seminary (1-2) 17%
( 7%) 6W: 11.75 ( 8.05-18.05) 92% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), East (Akron) (2-1) 20%
( 2%) 5W: 8.40 ( 6.15-14.25) 31% in, proj. out (#9-out), West Geauga (3-0) 20%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(30%) WWWWWWW: 28.15 (23.75-32.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 3%) WWWWWWL: 24.00 (19.05-27.40) 100% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 83%
(10%) LWWWWWW: 23.95 (18.50-28.55) 100% home, 69% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 69%
(12%) WWLWWWW: 23.10 (19.30-27.25) 100% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 53%
( 3%) WWLWWWL: 19.20 (14.60-22.75) 100% in, 97% home, 5% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Cleveland Central Cath. (2-1) 14%
( 9%) LWLWWWW: 19.15 (15.65-22.65) 100% in, 93% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#10), Poland Seminary (1-2) 18%
( 3%) LLLWWWW: 15.40 (12.40-18.40) 100% in, 46% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Cleveland Central Cath. (2-1) 18%
( 2%) LLLWLWL: 8.30 ( 6.15-11.55) 25% in, proj. out (#9-out), West Geauga (3-0) 23%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 130.8, #144, D4 #14), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 84% home (maybe if 7-3), 50% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 129.2, #155, D4 #15), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 83% home (maybe if 7-3), 50% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 134.3, #125, D4 #10), 96% (bubble if 5-5), 85% home (maybe if 7-3), 56% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 128.5, #159, D4 #14), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 7-3), 39% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Last season 133.9