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Rankings
#60 of 105 in Division 4
#14 of 26 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #63 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #48 in D4 (-98 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 35-20 H #181 Revere (3-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 11 (31%), perf. rating 102
08/29 W 28-0 A #632 Brookside (0-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 98
09/05 L 49-0 A #70 Cuyahoga Val. Christian (3-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 38 (2%), perf. rating 86
09/12 W 48-35 A #465 Field (0-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 10 (72%), perf. rating 105
09/19 A #485 Ravenna (1-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 17 (86%)
09/26 H #593 Coventry (1-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/03 H #175 Streetsboro (3-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/10 A #160 Norton (3-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/17 H #340 Cloverleaf (3-1) D4 R14, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/24 A #654 Springfield (Akron) (1-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 39 (99%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.65 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
23% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.47 ( 4.42-21.06) 25% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Streetsboro (3-1) 14%
Lose: 5.30 ( 2.38-17.26) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 7W: 15.20 (14.58-19.27) 100% in, 20% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Northwest (Canal Fult.) (2-1) 13%
(38%) 6W: 10.94 (10.47-15.16) 37% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Streetsboro (3-1) 15%
(43%) 5W: 7.65 ( 6.88-10.90) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(10%) 4W: 5.20 ( 4.32- 8.34) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WWWLWW: 15.20 (14.69-16.54) 100% in, 19% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Streetsboro (3-1) 18%
( 3%) WWLWWW: 15.10 (14.58-16.44) 100% in, 22% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Norton (3-0) 16%
( 2%) WWWLLW: 11.45 (10.58-12.95) 41% in, proj. out (#10-out), Northwest (Canal Fult.) (2-1) 16%
( 1%) WWLWLW: 11.45 (10.47-13.26) 39% in, proj. out (#10-out), Notre Dame-Cath. Latin (3-1) 18%
(33%) WWLLWW: 10.84 (10.47-12.79) 35% in, proj. out (#9-out), Streetsboro (3-1) 16%
( 3%) LWLLWW: 8.40 ( 7.40-10.34) 6% in, proj. out (#12-out), Perry (2-2) 33%
(39%) WWLLLW: 7.24 ( 6.88- 9.25) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Streetsboro (3-1) 24%
( 9%) LWLLLW: 5.14 ( 4.32- 7.72) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 100.0, #370, D4 #60), 23% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 99.2, #375, D4 #58), 30% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 97.4, #382, D4 #61), 27% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 97.3, #378, D4 #59), 39% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 100.8, #350, D4 #58), 42% (bubble if 5-5), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 99.2