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Rankings
#69 of 101 in Division 4
#15 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #64 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #5 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #449 Ravenna (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 5 (59%)
08/28 A #445 Ellet (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/04 H #82 Poland Seminary (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 37 (2%)
09/11 A #381 Woodridge (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 9 (30%)
09/18 H #579 Cuyahoga Falls (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 25 (94%)
09/25 A #314 Kent Roosevelt (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 17 (14%)
10/02 A #346 Cloverleaf (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/09 H #130 Streetsboro (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/16 H #292 Tallmadge (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/23 A #658 Springfield (Akron) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 35 (99%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
41% (bubble if 5-5), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.95 ( 0.45-31.90) 59% in, 29% home, 7% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 4.05 ( 0.00-27.00) 16% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Norton (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 25.75 (21.45-31.90) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 3%) 9W: 22.50 (18.10-28.25) 100% in, 99% home, 74% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 74%
( 6%) 8W: 18.95 (13.80-26.65) 100% in, 95% home, 24% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 24%
(10%) 7W: 15.70 (11.05-21.30) 99% in, 65% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Hubbard (0-0) 9%
(12%) 6W: 12.65 ( 8.05-18.95) 91% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Norton (0-0) 9%
(14%) 5W: 9.95 ( 5.65-15.70) 58% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 7.35 ( 3.55-12.90) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Norton (0-0) 12%
(16%) 3W: 5.10 ( 2.10-10.70) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Norton (0-0) 15%
(14%) 2W: 2.85 ( 1.05- 8.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 7%) 1W: 0.85 ( 0.45- 5.30) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Hubbard (0-0) 8%
East (Akron) (0-0) 8%
Norton (0-0) 8%
Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
West Branch (0-0) 16%
Streetsboro (0-0) 14%
Poland Seminary (0-0) 13%
Rocky River (0-0) 11%
Norton (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 96.2, #398, D4 #60), 39% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 86.2