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Rankings
#89 of 102 in Division 4
#21 of 25 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #49 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #82 in D4 (-451 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 28-7 H #472 Ravenna (3-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 5 (59%), perf. rating 51
08/28 W 30-20 A #546 Ellet (1-6) D2 R5, pick: L by 10 (31%), perf. rating 89
09/04 L 49-0 H #146 Poland Seminary (4-3) D4 R13, pick: L by 38 (2%), perf. rating 66
09/11 L 62-7 A #171 Woodridge (6-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 36 (2%), perf. rating 66
09/18 W by forfeit H #510 Cuyahoga Falls (3-4) D2 R5 (no game)
09/25 L 60-0 A #321 Kent Roosevelt (4-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 26 (5%), perf. rating 46
10/02 L 63-14 A #227 Cloverleaf (6-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 35 (1%), perf. rating 58
10/09 H #159 Streetsboro (5-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/16 H #278 Tallmadge (4-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/23 A #669 Springfield (Akron) (0-7) D4 R13, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Lose: 4.75 ( 3.20- 9.10) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 4W: 7.75 ( 6.40- 9.50) out, proj. out
(95%) 3W: 4.75 ( 3.70- 7.05) out, proj. out
( 3%) 2W: 4.25 ( 3.20- 5.40) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWW: 7.45 ( 6.40- 9.10) out
(95%) LLW: 4.75 ( 3.70- 6.45) out
( 3%) LLL: 4.25 ( 3.20- 5.40) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 69.9, #556, D4 #89), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (2-4, 72.2, #543, D4 #88), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (2-3, 78.5, #502, D4 #80), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (1-3, 80.7, #488, D4 #79), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 81.9, #482, D4 #80), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 87.3, #449, D4 #71), 14% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 78.4, #502, D4 #79), 7% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 90.5, #437, D4 #69), 41% (bubble if 5-5), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 86.2